TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Jiri Ruzicka vs Lukas Zeman 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117119119––––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:26 and never touched: 68.8% is still 68.8%
Graded at full timeLukas Zeman to win
68.8%
68.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJiri Ruzicka above · Lukas Zeman below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 58 set 3, 11-9 · our read held Lukas Zeman at 68.8%
58 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Ruzicka 5–14 Lukas Zeman Jiri Ruzicka has won 5 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:2668.8%Our read69.3%to break even at 1.444
short by 0.5pp69.3% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.444 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Zeman
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
5-14 in 19
Zeman
Wrong
gap of 9 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ruzicka 1845 vs Zeman 1869
Zeman
Wrong
both rated, 24 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ruzicka 40% vs Zeman 60%
Zeman
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ruzicka 70% vs Zeman 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ruzicka -2 · Zeman +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% · Clear lean (leans Zeman) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRuzicka 2.625 / Zeman 1.444
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Zeman)-0.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13244271
Ruzicka2.63
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 133 of 338
Down 0–1, comes back20% 42 of 213
Down 0–2, comes back5% 6 of 112
Zeman1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 33 of 57
Up 2–0, closes it95% 18 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it78% 28 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRuzicka4wins
AwayZeman6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderZeman leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRuzicka40%2 of 5
AwayZeman60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ruzicka5Zeman5n = 10split evenly
S2Ruzicka3Zeman7n = 10Zeman took 7 of 10
S3Ruzicka4Zeman6n = 10Zeman took 6 of 10
S4Ruzicka2Zeman5n = 7Zeman took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricRuzickaZemanR − ZBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.239.5−2.3per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRuzickaZemanBasisWin rate · lifetime698 / 1413 vs 241 / 47649.4%50.6%698 / 1413 vs 241 / 476Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.839.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
ZemanRuzicka 2.63/Zeman 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68.8%
Zeman · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Ruzicka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LFeb 19 · 10:26J. Ruzicka37118991L. Zeman3741111113
WFeb 19 · 09:30J. Ruzicka54811912143L. Zeman531191110122
WFeb 13 · 09:59J. Ruzicka556111110173L. Zeman51118512152
LFeb 13 · 09:30J. Ruzicka361161091L. Zeman4391112113
WJun 5 · 01:00J. Ruzicka4011711113L. Zeman37911891
WMay 21 · 00:30J. Ruzicka331111113L. Zeman268990
LApr 26 · 13:30J. Ruzicka30851161L. Zeman3811115113
LApr 26 · 12:00J. Ruzicka2486100L. Zeman341111123
LApr 15 · 23:30J. Ruzicka3911101081L. Zeman4381212113
LMar 7 · 04:00J. Ruzicka248880L. Zeman331111113
J. Ruzicka10
LOct 5 · 10:30E. Mares1.671111113J. Ruzicka2.109890LOct 2 · 13:30J. Ruzicka2.101411951E. Mares1.6716811113WOct 2 · 12:00J. Ruzicka2.3811811113E. Mares1.53411891WOct 2 · 11:30J. Simecek2.5079100J. Ruzicka1.501111123LOct 2 · 10:00J. Ruzicka2.2541212592A. Barton1.5711101011113WOct 2 · 09:30J. Ruzicka1.5591111113J. Simecek2.30116171WOct 2 · 08:00E. Mares1.5312111081J. Ruzicka2.38101312113WOct 2 · 07:00L. Jindrak1.336118121J. Ruzicka3.2511411143WOct 2 · 06:30J. Ruzicka1.5711911113J. Simecek2.25311761WSep 29 · 17:30J. Ruzicka2.0016911113O. Svacha1.731411731
L. Zeman10
WOct 5 · 12:00L. Zeman1.7351111113E. Mares2.00116971WOct 5 · 10:00L. Zeman1.501111911113M. Huk2.5013411842LSep 19 · 17:30L. Zeman1.83118151192E. Mares1.831311138113WSep 19 · 16:00L. Zeman3.2511119113J. Cernik1.33351181WSep 19 · 15:30D. Opanasiuk1.6198100L. Zeman2.201111123LSep 19 · 14:00L. Zeman1.9171151392E. Mares1.801191111113WSep 19 · 13:30L. Prikasky1.573570L. Zeman2.251111113WSep 19 · 12:30J. Mecl Jr1.8377100L. Zeman1.831111123WSep 19 · 11:30L. Zeman1.66138713113O. Kolisnyk2.051111111162LSep 19 · 10:30L. Prikasky1.831111113L. Zeman1.837590
Upcoming Matches
J. Ruzicka
Oct 5 · 14:00J. Ruzicka2.25E. Mares1.57—Oct 5 · 15:00J. Ruzicka1.83M. Huk1.83—Oct 5 · 16:30J. Ruzicka2.10V. Koubek1.67—Oct 6 · 06:30J. Ruzicka—J. Kycelt——Oct 6 · 07:30J. Ruzicka—L. Jindrak——Oct 6 · 08:30J. Ruzicka2.38J. Vales1.53—Oct 6 · 10:30J. Ruzicka—L. Jindrak——Oct 6 · 11:30J. Ruzicka—E. Mares——Oct 6 · 12:30J. Ruzicka—J. Vales——
L. Zeman
Nothing scheduled
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