TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Lukas Zeman vs Martin Huk 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1113114911118114
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:56 and never touched: 63.3% is still 63.3%
Graded at full timeLukas Zeman to win
63.3%
63.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingLukas Zeman above · Martin Huk below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-4
Point 93 set 5, 11-4 · our read held Lukas Zeman at 63.3%
93 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Zeman 22–19 Martin Huk Martin Huk has won 19 of their 41 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:5663.3%Our read66.7%to break even at 1.50
short by 3.4pp66.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.50 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Zeman
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
22-19 in 41
Zeman
Correct
gap of 3 in 41, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zeman 1860 vs Huk 1806
Zeman
Correct
both rated, 53 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zeman 60% vs Huk 40%
Zeman
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zeman 50% vs Huk 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zeman -1 · Huk -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% · Clear lean (leans Zeman) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZeman 1.50 / Huk 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Zeman)-3.4pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13243673
Zeman1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 16 days ago (Sep 19) · back after a break
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 33 of 57
Up 2–0, closes it95% 18 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it78% 28 of 36
Huk2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 5 days ago (Sep 30)
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog43% won 118 of 275
Down 0–1, comes back27% 40 of 151
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 80
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZeman6wins
AwayHuk4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderZeman leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZeman80%4 of 5
AwayHuk60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zeman5Huk5n = 10split evenly
S2Zeman6Huk4n = 10Zeman took 6 of 10
S3Zeman7Huk3n = 10Zeman took 7 of 10
S4Zeman4Huk4n = 8split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZemanHukZ − HBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.935.0+5.9per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZemanHukBasisWin rate · lifetime242 / 480 vs 782 / 159350.4%49.1%242 / 480 vs 782 / 1593Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.738.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
ZemanZeman 1.50/Huk 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.3%
Zeman · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Zeman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 13 · 07:30L. Zeman4211911113M. Huk27511741
LSep 1 · 22:00L. Zeman367118101M. Huk4111711123
WApr 25 · 22:00L. Zeman531111119113M. Huk4413561192
WApr 11 · 20:00L. Zeman4211911113M. Huk30711571
LApr 3 · 10:00L. Zeman371211861M. Huk4014411113
WApr 2 · 20:30L. Zeman331111113M. Huk193880
LFeb 22 · 22:30L. Zeman4111910111M. Huk4371112133
LFeb 22 · 19:30L. Zeman53891212122M. Huk5611111010143
WJan 15 · 03:00L. Zeman3961111113M. Huk28114491
WJan 14 · 10:30L. Zeman331111113M. Huk227690
L. Zeman10
LSep 19 · 17:30L. Zeman1.83118151192E. Mares1.831311138113WSep 19 · 16:00L. Zeman3.2511119113J. Cernik1.33351181WSep 19 · 15:30D. Opanasiuk1.6198100L. Zeman2.201111123LSep 19 · 14:00L. Zeman1.9171151392E. Mares1.801191111113WSep 19 · 13:30L. Prikasky1.573570L. Zeman2.251111113WSep 19 · 12:30J. Mecl Jr1.8377100L. Zeman1.831111123WSep 19 · 11:30L. Zeman1.66138713113O. Kolisnyk2.051111111162LSep 19 · 10:30L. Prikasky1.831111113L. Zeman1.837590LSep 13 · 17:00L. Zeman1.83610111152M. Zahradka1.83111264113LSep 13 · 16:30L. Zeman3.00212241T. Kos1.36111011113
M. Huk10
LSep 30 · 17:30M. Huk2.10112120M. Jezek1.651114143LSep 30 · 16:00M. Jezek1.83119119113M. Huk1.8381161172WSep 30 · 15:00R. Urbaniec2.10101291142M. Huk1.671210116113WSep 30 · 14:30M. Huk3.75114611113P. Gireth1.2551111562LSep 27 · 17:00M. Huk2.385880D. Opanasiuk1.531111113LSep 27 · 16:30J. Cernik1.131111113M. Huk5.507660LSep 27 · 15:30M. Huk3.256950J. Zajicek1.331111113WSep 27 · 14:30D. Opanasiuk1.4011661182M. Huk2.75811115113WSep 27 · 13:02M. Huk2.001411113J. Kanera1.7312070WSep 27 · 12:30M. Huk2.104111113113J. Kanera1.6711541582
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