TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Radim Urbaniec vs Martin Huk 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 30Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
10121210911116411
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:52 and never touched: 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeMartin Huk to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
RightSent to Pro: Martin Huk @ 1.61 · Won
How it is goingRadim Urbaniec above · Martin Huk below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 96 set 5, 4-11 · our read held Martin Huk at 57.7%
96 points played in total.
H2H Radim Urbaniec 34–38 Martin Huk Radim Urbaniec has won 34 of their 72 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 13:5257.7%Our read60.0%to break even at 1.666
short by 2.3pp60.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.666 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Huk
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
34-38 in 72
Huk
Correct
gap of 4 in 72, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Urbaniec 1821 vs Huk 1824
Huk
Correct
both rated, 3 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Urbaniec 80% vs Huk 40%
Urbaniec
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Urbaniec 60% vs Huk 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Urbaniec +3 · Huk +1
Urbaniec
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent, and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 58% · Slight lean (leans Huk) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Huk form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUrbaniec 2.10 / Huk 1.666
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Huk)-2.3pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13216067
Urbaniec2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 187 of 465
Down 0–1, comes back23% 60 of 260
Down 0–2, comes back8% 12 of 145
Huk1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 151 of 274
Up 2–0, closes it97% 65 of 67
Up 1–0, closes it76% 110 of 145
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeUrbaniec3wins
AwayHuk7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderHuk leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeUrbaniec42.9%3 of 7
AwayHuk100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Urbaniec7Huk3n = 10Urbaniec took 7 of 10
S2Urbaniec2Huk8n = 10Huk took 8 of 10
S3Urbaniec5Huk5n = 10split evenly
S4Urbaniec4Huk3n = 7Urbaniec took 4 of 7
S5Urbaniec0Huk3n = 3Huk took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricUrbaniecHukU − HBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.440.2−2.8per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUrbaniecHukBasisWin rate · lifetime683 / 1332 vs 782 / 159351.3%49.1%683 / 1332 vs 782 / 1593Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
HukUrbaniec 2.10/Huk 1.67
Hit
What we said
57.7%
Huk · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Martin Huk @ 1.61 · Won
What happened
2–3
Huk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 21 · 23:30R. Urbaniec48111051482M. Huk559121112113
LAug 28 · 03:30R. Urbaniec186390M. Huk331111113
WAug 28 · 01:00R. Urbaniec57111612183M. Huk5281810161
LAug 20 · 03:30R. Urbaniec4511781272M. Huk518111110113
LAug 19 · 23:30R. Urbaniec27118531M. Huk3631111113
WAug 19 · 14:00R. Urbaniec381116113M. Huk2371420
LAug 19 · 00:30R. Urbaniec4476111192M. Huk45111139113
LAug 16 · 03:28R. Urbaniec33119761M. Huk3961111113
WAug 16 · 01:00R. Urbaniec331111113M. Huk239860
LAug 14 · 02:58R. Urbaniec31561461M. Huk45111112113
R. Urbaniec10
WSep 30 · 14:00M. Jezek1.4431370R. Urbaniec2.631115113WSep 30 · 09:30J. Kycelt1.36119261R. Urbaniec3.0041111113WSep 30 · 08:30R. Urbaniec2.38911512113J. Vales1.53118111082LSep 30 · 07:00R. Urbaniec3.00911591J. Kycelt1.3611811113WSep 30 · 06:00E. Mares1.61139711132R. Urbaniec2.201111118153WSep 29 · 17:01F. Pusch2.7586100R. Urbaniec1.401111123LSep 29 · 16:00O. Svacha2.2011119113R. Urbaniec1.61851181LSep 29 · 15:00J. Ruzicka1.53911157113R. Urbaniec2.38117131192WSep 29 · 14:30R. Urbaniec1.61131165113F. Pusch2.20118111172LSep 29 · 13:00R. Urbaniec1.8311591182O. Kolisnyk1.83611114113
M. Huk10
LSep 30 · 16:00M. Jezek1.83119119113M. Huk1.8381161172WSep 30 · 14:30M. Huk3.75114611113P. Gireth1.2551111562LSep 27 · 17:00M. Huk2.385880D. Opanasiuk1.531111113LSep 27 · 16:30J. Cernik1.131111113M. Huk5.507660LSep 27 · 15:30M. Huk3.256950J. Zajicek1.331111113WSep 27 · 14:30D. Opanasiuk1.4011661182M. Huk2.75811115113WSep 27 · 13:02M. Huk2.001411113J. Kanera1.7312070WSep 27 · 12:30M. Huk2.104111113113J. Kanera1.6711541582LSep 27 · 11:00M. Huk6.0011116622J. Cernik1.11991111113LSep 27 · 10:00D. Opanasiuk1.365111011183M. Huk3.00119126162
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.