TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Martin Huk vs Jan Cernik 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
119119611611211
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 8
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:10 and never touched — 76.7% is still 76.7%
Graded at full timeJan Cernik to win
76.7%
76.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Huk above · Jan Cernik below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 2-11
Point 87 set 5, 2-11 — our read held Jan Cernik at 76.7%
87 points played in total.
H2H Martin Huk 1–18 Jan Cernik Martin Huk has won 1 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:10What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.11 (84%)
Cernik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-18 in 19
Cernik
Correct
gap of 17 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Huk 1798 vs Cernik 1957
Cernik
Correct
both rated, 159 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Huk 40% vs Cernik 100%
Cernik
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Huk 40% vs Cernik 80%
Cernik
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Huk -1 · Cernik +8
Cernik
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 89% — Strong (leans Cernik) · live re-read · sealed at 77% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Huk form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (17%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHuk 6.00 / Cernik 1.11
Signal prob.11% / 89%
Edge (Cernik)+4.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13200518
Huk6.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 122 of 288
Down 0–1, comes back25% 40 of 158
Down 0–2, comes back7% 6 of 83
Cernik1.11
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 8
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite66% won 77 of 117
Up 2–0, closes it95% 41 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it85% 55 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHuk0wins
AwayCernik10wins
2 of 10 to a deciderCernik leads 10–0, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHukn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayCernik100%9 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Huk1Cernik9n = 10Cernik took 9 of 10
S2Huk2Cernik8n = 10Cernik took 8 of 10
S3Huk1Cernik9n = 10Cernik took 9 of 10
S4Huk1Cernik2n = 3Cernik took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away770%
These 10 meetings
MetricHukCernikH − CBasisWins010−10in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match25.337.3−12.0per matchSweeps07−73–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHukCernikBasisWin rate · lifetime791 / 1608 vs 204 / 34649.2%59%791 / 1608 vs 204 / 346Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CernikHuk 6.00/Cernik 1.11
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
88.6%
Cernik · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Cernik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 27 · 11:00M. Huk3611116622J. Cernik51991111113
LSep 25 · 17:30M. Huk2275100J. Cernik341111123
LSep 25 · 15:00M. Huk2410770J. Cernik341211113
LSep 25 · 11:30M. Huk209560J. Cernik331111113
LJul 25 · 12:30M. Huk4171151172J. Cernik46117116113
LDec 14 · 18:30M. Huk147250J. Cernik331111113
LDec 14 · 17:30M. Huk2111730J. Cernik351311113
LDec 14 · 11:00M. Huk1853100J. Cernik341111123
LSep 26 · 06:30M. Huk258890J. Cernik331111113
LAug 22 · 02:30M. Huk32781161J. Cernik4011117113
M. Huk10
LSep 27 · 10:00D. Opanasiuk1.365111011183M. Huk3.00119126162WSep 26 · 08:58M. Huk2.507101113133E. Mares1.501112511112WSep 26 · 08:30M. Huk2.381212113E. Mares1.53101080LSep 26 · 07:00M. Huk2.509950L. Jindrak1.501111113LSep 26 · 06:00D. Opanasiuk1.3611115123M. Huk3.008711101LSep 25 · 17:30J. Cernik1.131111123M. Huk5.5075100WSep 25 · 16:00E. Mares1.50101111692M. Huk2.50126611113LSep 25 · 15:00J. Cernik1.141211113M. Huk5.0010770WSep 25 · 14:30M. Huk1.809111112113O. Kolisnyk1.9111771492LSep 25 · 13:00M. Huk1.80119951O. Kolisnyk1.9161111113
J. Cernik10
WSep 27 · 12:00D. Opanasiuk1.3656130J. Cernik3.001111153WSep 27 · 10:30J. Cernik1.33111168113J. Kanera3.2569111162WSep 25 · 17:30J. Cernik1.131111123M. Huk5.5075100WSep 25 · 16:30J. Cernik1.33631111113O. Kolisnyk3.2511117992WSep 25 · 15:00J. Cernik1.141211113M. Huk5.0010770WSep 25 · 14:00E. Mares2.1051090J. Cernik1.671112113WSep 25 · 13:29E. Mares1.7391110111J. Cernik2.0011512133WSep 25 · 12:30O. Kolisnyk2.7599100J. Cernik1.401111123WSep 25 · 11:30J. Cernik1.171111113M. Huk4.509560LSep 25 · 10:30E. Mares2.201111113J. Cernik1.614940
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