TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Dmytro Opanasiuk vs Jan Cernik 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
5116111315––––
Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 9
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:17 and never touched — 71.2% is still 71.2%
Graded at full timeDmytro Opanasiuk to win
71.2%
71.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDmytro Opanasiuk above · Jan Cernik below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 13-15
Point 61 set 3, 13-15 — our read held Dmytro Opanasiuk at 71.2%
61 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Opanasiuk 11–0 Jan Cernik Jan Cernik has won 0 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:17What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Opanasiuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-0 in 11
Opanasiuk
Wrong
gap of 11 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Opanasiuk 1976 vs Cernik 1957
Opanasiuk
Wrong
both rated, 20 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Opanasiuk 80% vs Cernik 100%
Cernik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Opanasiuk 70% vs Cernik 90%
Cernik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Opanasiuk +2 · Cernik +9
Cernik
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Opanasiuk) · live re-read · sealed at 71% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cernik form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOpanasiuk 1.36 / Cernik 3.00
Signal prob.70% / 30%
Edge (Opanasiuk)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13200322
Opanasiuk1.36
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite53% won 94 of 176
Up 2–0, closes it93% 49 of 53
Up 1–0, closes it72% 63 of 88
Cernik3.00
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 9
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog36% won 21 of 59
Down 0–1, comes back24% 9 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOpanasiuk10wins
AwayCernik0wins
2 of 10 to a deciderOpanasiuk leads 10–0, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOpanasiuk100%7 of 7
AwayCernik0%0 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Opanasiuk7Cernik3n = 10Opanasiuk took 7 of 10
S2Opanasiuk7Cernik3n = 10Opanasiuk took 7 of 10
S3Opanasiuk8Cernik2n = 10Opanasiuk took 8 of 10
S4Opanasiuk6Cernik0n = 6Opanasiuk took 6 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricOpanasiukCernikO − CBasisWins100+10in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.228.9+12.3per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOpanasiukCernikBasisWin rate · lifetime164 / 301 vs 204 / 34654.5%59%164 / 301 vs 204 / 346Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.537.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OpanasiukOpanasiuk 1.36/Cernik 3.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
70.4%
Opanasiuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Cernik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 20 · 16:59D. Opanasiuk4211119113J. Cernik24481111
WSep 20 · 14:30D. Opanasiuk331111113J. Cernik165650
WSep 20 · 12:00D. Opanasiuk511071112113J. Cernik41121131052
WSep 19 · 21:30D. Opanasiuk401118113J. Cernik3271690
WSep 19 · 18:00D. Opanasiuk4211119113J. Cernik35881181
WSep 19 · 17:01D. Opanasiuk331111113J. Cernik207760
WSep 19 · 14:30D. Opanasiuk4481411113J. Cernik321112541
WJul 19 · 11:30D. Opanasiuk50891111113J. Cernik3711113662
WJul 15 · 23:00D. Opanasiuk4411811143J. Cernik344117121
WJul 15 · 16:00D. Opanasiuk331111113J. Cernik189360
D. Opanasiuk10
WSep 27 · 11:30J. Kanera2.5031191162D. Opanasiuk1.50119119113WSep 27 · 10:00D. Opanasiuk1.365111011183M. Huk3.00119126162LSep 26 · 13:30D. Opanasiuk2.651161111L. Boruvka1.431311843WSep 26 · 12:00L. Boruvka1.57111110582D. Opanasiuk2.25651211113WSep 26 · 11:00M. Parzhizek1.8071111992D. Opanasiuk1.91116911113WSep 26 · 10:30D. Opanasiuk1.44101111113E. Mares2.63129771LSep 26 · 09:30L. Jindrak2.706111211113D. Opanasiuk1.4011614862WSep 26 · 08:00D. Opanasiuk1.4411511113L. Jindrak2.63811941LSep 26 · 07:30E. Mares2.251111123D. Opanasiuk1.5789100WSep 26 · 06:00D. Opanasiuk1.3611115123M. Huk3.008711101
J. Cernik10
WSep 27 · 11:00M. Huk6.0011116622J. Cernik1.11991111113WSep 27 · 10:30J. Cernik1.33111168113J. Kanera3.2569111162WSep 25 · 17:30J. Cernik1.131111123M. Huk5.5075100WSep 25 · 16:30J. Cernik1.33631111113O. Kolisnyk3.2511117992WSep 25 · 15:00J. Cernik1.141211113M. Huk5.0010770WSep 25 · 14:00E. Mares2.1051090J. Cernik1.671112113WSep 25 · 13:29E. Mares1.7391110111J. Cernik2.0011512133WSep 25 · 12:30O. Kolisnyk2.7599100J. Cernik1.401111123WSep 25 · 11:30J. Cernik1.171111113M. Huk4.509560LSep 25 · 10:30E. Mares2.201111113J. Cernik1.614940
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