TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Jakub Vales vs Jiri Ruzicka 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 6Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1214117114711711
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:27 and never touched: 61.2% is still 61.2%
Graded at full timeJakub Vales to win
61.2%
61.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJakub Vales above · Jiri Ruzicka below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 95 set 5, 7-11 · our read held Jakub Vales at 61.2%
95 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Vales 5–5 Jiri Ruzicka Dead even across their 10 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:2761.2%Our read65.2%to break even at 1.533
short by 4.0pp65.2% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.533 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Vales
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
5-5 in 10
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vales 1847 vs Ruzicka 1817
Vales
Wrong
both rated, 30 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vales 60% vs Ruzicka 40%
Vales
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vales 60% vs Ruzicka 30%
Vales
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vales +1 · Ruzicka -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% · Slight lean (leans Vales) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVales 1.533 / Ruzicka 2.375
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Vales)-4.0pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13247998
Vales1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 109 of 191
Up 2–0, closes it88% 45 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it70% 66 of 95
Ruzicka2.38
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 135 of 344
Down 0–1, comes back19% 42 of 217
Down 0–2, comes back5% 6 of 114
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVales5wins
AwayRuzicka5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVales80%4 of 5
AwayRuzicka80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vales5Ruzicka5n = 10split evenly
S2Vales4Ruzicka6n = 10Ruzicka took 6 of 10
S3Vales7Ruzicka3n = 10Vales took 7 of 10
S4Vales4Ruzicka5n = 9Ruzicka took 5 of 9
S5Vales2Ruzicka2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricValesRuzickaV − RBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.437.6+2.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricValesRuzickaBasisWin rate · lifetime299 / 549 vs 702 / 141954.5%49.5%299 / 549 vs 702 / 1419Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
ValesVales 1.53/Ruzicka 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.2%
Vales · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Ruzicka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 6 · 08:30J. Vales48121111772J. Ruzicka47147411113
WFeb 17 · 18:00J. Vales50119811113J. Ruzicka3431111452
LFeb 17 · 15:30J. Vales37981191J. Ruzicka4111118113
WDec 23 · 00:30J. Vales331111113J. Ruzicka157350
LNov 18 · 04:00J. Vales371161191J. Ruzicka4213117113
WNov 18 · 03:30J. Vales4111611133J. Ruzicka326114111
WMay 29 · 13:30J. Vales48712117113J. Ruzicka50111091192
LMay 29 · 10:30J. Vales3511191132J. Ruzicka45711115113
LMay 21 · 10:30J. Vales33811861J. Ruzicka4111811113
WMay 13 · 15:30J. Vales4211911113J. Ruzicka29611571
J. Vales10
WOct 6 · 09:30L. Jindrak1.8071181172J. Vales1.91119116113WOct 6 · 07:00J. Vales1.53911116113J. Kycelt2.3811971162LOct 6 · 06:00L. Jindrak1.8011911113J. Vales1.91811741WOct 4 · 21:30Z. Bilek1.901151081J. Vales1.8071112113LOct 4 · 20:00E. Mares1.8311811143J. Vales1.839119121WOct 4 · 19:00T. Postelt2.6311611892J. Vales1.44511911113LOct 4 · 18:30J. Vales1.8011117592Z. Bilek1.91831111113WSep 30 · 13:30J. Vales1.831114113E. Mares1.8381290LSep 30 · 12:00T. Postelt2.6314131111113J. Vales1.441211131362WSep 30 · 11:00M. Zahradka2.7511711131J. Vales1.4013114153
J. Ruzicka10
LOct 6 · 09:00J. Kycelt1.40111174113J. Ruzicka2.7585111192LOct 6 · 07:30J. Ruzicka2.501112100L. Jindrak1.501314123LOct 6 · 06:30J. Kycelt1.441111113J. Ruzicka2.639790WOct 5 · 16:59J. Ruzicka2.50111011113E. Mares1.50912771LOct 5 · 16:30J. Ruzicka2.101011951V. Koubek1.6712711113WOct 5 · 15:00J. Ruzicka1.831171310123M. Huk1.839111112102LOct 5 · 14:00E. Mares1.57115129113J. Ruzicka2.25711101192LOct 5 · 13:06E. Mares1.571112113J. Ruzicka2.2571090LOct 5 · 12:30M. Huk1.838111114113J. Ruzicka1.83118131252WOct 5 · 11:30J. Ruzicka2.631111113L. Zeman1.447990
Upcoming Matches
J. Vales
J. Ruzicka
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.