TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Erik Mares vs Jiri Ruzicka 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1171210119––––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingErik Mares above · Jiri Ruzicka below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 60 set 3, 11-9
60 points played in total.
H2H Erik Mares 10–8 Jiri Ruzicka Jiri Ruzicka has won 8 of their 18 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Mares beat Ruzicka 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mares form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMares 1.571 / Ruzicka 2.25
Czech Liga Pro · #13248942
Mares1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite56% won 153 of 272
Up 2–0, closes it88% 98 of 112
Up 1–0, closes it71% 131 of 185
Ruzicka2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 133 of 338
Down 0–1, comes back20% 42 of 213
Down 0–2, comes back5% 6 of 112
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMares5wins
AwayRuzicka5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMares62.5%5 of 8
AwayRuzickan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mares8Ruzicka2n = 10Mares took 8 of 10
S2Mares6Ruzicka4n = 10Mares took 6 of 10
S3Mares4Ruzicka6n = 10Ruzicka took 6 of 10
S4Mares4Ruzicka4n = 8split evenly
S5Mares1Ruzicka3n = 4Ruzicka took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaresRuzickaM − RBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match44.541.7+2.8per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaresRuzickaBasisWin rate · lifetime605 / 1213 vs 699 / 141549.9%49.4%605 / 1213 vs 699 / 1415Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.238.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
MaresMares 1.57/Ruzicka 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
3–0
Mares won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 5 · 10:30E. Mares331111113J. Ruzicka269890
WOct 2 · 13:30E. Mares4616811113J. Ruzicka391411951
LOct 2 · 12:00E. Mares32411891J. Ruzicka4111811113
LOct 2 · 08:00E. Mares4112111081J. Ruzicka46101312113
LSep 17 · 00:00E. Mares551213101192J. Ruzicka571015129113
LSep 3 · 12:59E. Mares4571311952J. Ruzicka511111711113
WSep 3 · 11:30E. Mares531191111113J. Ruzicka3961113092
LAug 1 · 16:30E. Mares5811111013132J. Ruzicka56591215153
WJun 22 · 13:00E. Mares331111113J. Ruzicka214980
WJun 22 · 10:30E. Mares49111116113J. Ruzicka41591891
E. Mares10
LOct 5 · 12:00L. Zeman1.7351111113E. Mares2.00116971LOct 5 · 11:00M. Huk2.501081311113E. Mares1.50121111992WOct 5 · 10:30E. Mares1.671111113J. Ruzicka2.109890LOct 4 · 20:59T. Postelt1.83118116113E. Mares1.8761161142WOct 4 · 20:00E. Mares1.8311811143J. Vales1.839119121LOct 4 · 19:30Z. Bilek2.2071211113E. Mares1.611110561LOct 4 · 18:00E. Mares2.001147101T. Postelt1.7341111123WOct 2 · 13:30J. Ruzicka2.101411951E. Mares1.6716811113LOct 2 · 12:00J. Ruzicka2.3811811113E. Mares1.53411891WOct 2 · 11:00A. Barton3.503511111E. Mares1.2811119133
J. Ruzicka10
LOct 5 · 12:30M. Huk1.838111114113J. Ruzicka1.83118131252WOct 5 · 11:30J. Ruzicka2.631111113L. Zeman1.447990LOct 5 · 10:30E. Mares1.671111113J. Ruzicka2.109890LOct 2 · 13:30J. Ruzicka2.101411951E. Mares1.6716811113WOct 2 · 12:00J. Ruzicka2.3811811113E. Mares1.53411891WOct 2 · 11:30J. Simecek2.5079100J. Ruzicka1.501111123LOct 2 · 10:00J. Ruzicka2.2541212592A. Barton1.5711101011113WOct 2 · 09:30J. Ruzicka1.5591111113J. Simecek2.30116171WOct 2 · 08:00E. Mares1.5312111081J. Ruzicka2.38101312113WOct 2 · 07:00L. Jindrak1.336118121J. Ruzicka3.2511411143
Upcoming Matches
E. Mares
J. Ruzicka
Oct 5 · 15:00J. Ruzicka1.83M. Huk1.83—Oct 5 · 16:30J. Ruzicka2.10V. Koubek1.67—Oct 6 · 06:30J. Ruzicka2.60J. Kycelt1.43—Oct 6 · 07:30J. Ruzicka2.75L. Jindrak1.40—Oct 6 · 08:30J. Ruzicka2.38J. Vales1.53—Oct 6 · 10:30J. Ruzicka2.75L. Jindrak1.40—Oct 6 · 11:30J. Ruzicka2.50E. Mares1.50—Oct 6 · 12:30J. Ruzicka2.38J. Vales1.53—
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