TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Michael Sedlacek vs Radovan Polasek 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 6Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
811114119114––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:46 and never touched: 64.8% is still 64.8%
Graded at full timeMichael Sedlacek to win
64.8%
64.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingMichael Sedlacek above · Radovan Polasek below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 69 set 4, 11-4 · our read held Michael Sedlacek at 64.8%
69 points played in total.
H2H Michael Sedlacek 17–8 Radovan Polasek Radovan Polasek has won 8 of their 25 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:4664.8%Our read65.2%to break even at 1.533
short by 0.4pp65.2% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.533 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Sedlacek
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
17-8 in 25
Sedlacek
Correct
gap of 9 in 25, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sedlacek 1889 vs Polasek 1793
Sedlacek
Correct
both rated, 96 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sedlacek 60% vs Polasek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sedlacek 40% vs Polasek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sedlacek -2 · Polasek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% · Clear lean (leans Sedlacek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Polasek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSedlacek 1.533 / Polasek 2.375
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Sedlacek)-0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13248888
Sedlacek1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 33 days ago (Sep 03) · back after a break
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 100 of 166
Up 2–0, closes it90% 35 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it77% 66 of 86
Polasek2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 4 days ago (Oct 02)
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog48% won 123 of 255
Down 0–1, comes back28% 37 of 134
Down 0–2, comes back10% 7 of 72
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSedlacek6wins
AwayPolasek4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderSedlacek leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSedlacek60%3 of 5
AwayPolasek40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sedlacek5Polasek5n = 10split evenly
S2Sedlacek5Polasek5n = 10split evenly
S3Sedlacek5Polasek5n = 10split evenly
S4Sedlacek2Polasek6n = 8Polasek took 6 of 8
S5Sedlacek5Polasek1n = 6Sedlacek took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSedlacekPolasekS − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.739.7+1.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSedlacekPolasekBasisWin rate · lifetime324 / 528 vs 480 / 94961.4%50.6%324 / 528 vs 480 / 949Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.738.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SedlacekSedlacek 1.53/Polasek 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.8%
Sedlacek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sedlacek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 11 · 11:00M. Sedlacek49881111113R. Polasek4111115592
LJul 24 · 09:30M. Sedlacek227870R. Polasek331111113
WJul 24 · 07:30M. Sedlacek531111812113R. Polasek4167111432
WJul 17 · 13:00M. Sedlacek48691111113R. Polasek4411118952
LJul 17 · 10:00M. Sedlacek32911751R. Polasek4211911113
WJun 17 · 09:29M. Sedlacek52156127123R. Polasek5513111011102
WJun 17 · 06:00M. Sedlacek46511118113R. Polasek4011861142
WJun 12 · 12:00M. Sedlacek331111113R. Polasek155730
LJun 10 · 12:30M. Sedlacek3511116432R. Polasek48961111113
LJun 6 · 16:30M. Sedlacek371179101R. Polasek3841111123
M. Sedlacek10
LSep 3 · 13:28T. Dousek1.801111123M. Sedlacek1.9146100LSep 3 · 12:30M. Sedlacek1.4081111842T. Zika2.75114711113WSep 3 · 11:00M. Sedlacek1.801111113J. Szotkowski1.919660WSep 3 · 10:00T. Dousek2.0061181192M. Sedlacek1.73118113113WSep 2 · 12:59T. Zika2.2011770M. Sedlacek1.611311113WSep 2 · 12:00M. Sedlacek1.7311711113J. Szotkowski2.00611631LSep 2 · 11:30T. Zika2.631111123M. Sedlacek1.4446100LSep 2 · 10:00M. Sedlacek1.67511961T. Dousek2.1011911113LSep 1 · 12:58T. Dousek2.251111113M. Sedlacek1.577860LSep 1 · 12:00M. Sedlacek1.73851171T. Dousek2.0011117113
R. Polasek10
LOct 6 · 11:00R. Polasek2.255580J. Szotkowski1.571111113WOct 2 · 12:59M. Navedla1.837680R. Polasek1.831111113LOct 2 · 12:00O. Paril1.7311116113R. Polasek2.00831141WOct 2 · 11:00M. Navedla2.00136111182R. Polasek1.73151185113LOct 2 · 10:30R. Polasek1.73781141P. Wawrosz2.0011113113WOct 1 · 16:59T. Zika1.8011471192R. Polasek1.91811117113LOct 1 · 16:30R. Polasek1.53114141162J. Pilch2.38811168113LOct 1 · 15:00R. Polasek1.91511111102T. Zika1.80116119123LOct 1 · 14:00T. Dousek1.8011113113R. Polasek1.91851131LSep 23 · 08:00R. Revay1.8311119113R. Polasek1.83971141
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.