TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Matyas Navedla vs Radovan Polasek 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 2Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711611811––––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingMatyas Navedla above · Radovan Polasek below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 54 set 3, 8-11
54 points played in total.
H2H Matyas Navedla 24–32 Radovan Polasek Matyas Navedla has won 24 of their 56 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Polasek beat Navedla 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Polasek form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNavedla 1.833 / Polasek 1.833
Czech Liga Pro · #13233066
Navedla1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Polasek1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNavedla5wins
AwayPolasek5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNavedla71.4%5 of 7
AwayPolasek100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Navedla7Polasek3n = 10Navedla took 7 of 10
S2Navedla7Polasek3n = 10Navedla took 7 of 10
S3Navedla5Polasek5n = 10split evenly
S4Navedla5Polasek2n = 7Navedla took 5 of 7
S5Navedla0Polasek4n = 4Polasek took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricNavedlaPolasekN − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.738.0+2.7per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNavedlaPolasekBasisWin rate · lifetime382 / 810 vs 479 / 94847.2%50.5%382 / 810 vs 479 / 948Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
PolasekNavedla 1.83/Polasek 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
0–3
Polasek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 2 · 11:00M. Navedla49136111182R. Polasek50151185113
LSep 22 · 08:58M. Navedla42116114102R. Polasek50811811123
WSep 22 · 06:00M. Navedla47141111113R. Polasek301231321
WSep 10 · 12:00M. Navedla381215113R. Polasek27101340
LSep 8 · 07:30M. Navedla44101161162R. Polasek49126119113
WAug 24 · 06:30M. Navedla3911116113R. Polasek32981141
WAug 23 · 19:30M. Navedla361111143R. Polasek2879120
LAug 14 · 10:00M. Navedla34117971R. Polasek4071111113
WAug 12 · 07:30M. Navedla341112113R. Polasek2781090
LAug 10 · 08:00M. Navedla4461191172R. Polasek47119115113
M. Navedla10
WOct 2 · 12:30M. Navedla2.001111113P. Wawrosz1.737780LOct 2 · 11:00M. Navedla2.00136111182R. Polasek1.73151185113LOct 2 · 10:00O. Paril1.531111113M. Navedla2.386990WSep 30 · 17:30T. Dousek1.63116114102M. Navedla2.13611711123LSep 30 · 16:30J. Pilch1.671111811113M. Navedla2.1091311992WSep 30 · 15:30M. Navedla2.38128115123T. Dousek1.531011511102WSep 30 · 14:30T. Zika1.61151011782M. Navedla2.201312711113WSep 26 · 13:09M. Navedla1.50111111113L. Prikasky2.40791311LSep 26 · 12:30D. Tomica1.617111111143M. Navedla2.20116135122LSep 26 · 11:30M. Navedla2.10111410872J. Pilch1.671121211113
R. Polasek10
LOct 2 · 12:00O. Paril1.7311116113R. Polasek2.00831141WOct 2 · 11:00M. Navedla2.00136111182R. Polasek1.73151185113LOct 2 · 10:30R. Polasek1.73781141P. Wawrosz2.0011113113WOct 1 · 16:59T. Zika1.8011471192R. Polasek1.91811117113LOct 1 · 16:30R. Polasek1.53114141162J. Pilch2.38811168113LOct 1 · 15:00R. Polasek1.91511111102T. Zika1.80116119123LOct 1 · 14:00T. Dousek1.8011113113R. Polasek1.91851131LSep 23 · 08:00R. Revay1.8311119113R. Polasek1.83971141WSep 23 · 07:00O. Paril1.75115141182R. Polasek1.95611164113LSep 23 · 06:30R. Polasek2.00861171T. Zika1.7311116113
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