TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Radovan Polasek vs Tadeas Zika 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 23Finished
Radovan Polasek
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811611116711––
Tadeas Zika
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:33 and never touched — 54.7% is still 54.7%
Graded at full timeTadeas Zika to win
54.7%
54.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadovan Polasek above · Tadeas Zika below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 71 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Tadeas Zika at 54.7%
71 points played in total.
H2H Radovan Polasek 90–93 Tadeas Zika Radovan Polasek has won 90 of their 183 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:33What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Zika
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
90-93 in 183
Zika
Correct
gap of 3 in 183, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Polasek 1827 vs Zika 1790
Polasek
Wrong
both rated, 37 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Polasek 80% vs Zika 60%
Polasek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Polasek 50% vs Zika 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Polasek +1 · Zika +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zika) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Polasek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPolasek 2.00 / Zika 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Zika)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13176803
Polasek2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog50% won 133 of 265
Down 0–1, comes back27% 36 of 132
Down 0–2, comes back10% 7 of 72
Zika1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 80 of 143
Up 2–0, closes it100% 35 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it74% 57 of 77
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePolasek3wins
AwayZika7wins
1 of 10 to a deciderZika leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePolasekn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayZika87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Polasek2Zika8n = 10Zika took 8 of 10
S2Polasek3Zika7n = 10Zika took 7 of 10
S3Polasek5Zika5n = 10split evenly
S4Polasek2Zika5n = 7Zika took 5 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricPolasekZikaP − ZBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match33.036.6−3.6per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPolasekZikaBasisWin rate · lifetime478 / 941 vs 803 / 174450.8%46%478 / 941 vs 803 / 1744Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZikaPolasek 2.00/Zika 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Zika · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Zika won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 23 · 06:30R. Polasek32861171T. Zika3911116113
WSep 22 · 10:30R. Polasek4211128113T. Zika358101161
LSep 22 · 07:30R. Polasek33691171T. Zika3811115113
LSep 21 · 12:30R. Polasek2310760T. Zika341211113
WSep 18 · 08:58R. Polasek4071111113T. Zika28116561
WSep 18 · 07:30R. Polasek46119114113T. Zika4551191192
LSep 17 · 13:30R. Polasek246990T. Zika331111113
LSep 17 · 10:00R. Polasek351011591T. Zika3912511113
LSep 16 · 18:30R. Polasek258890T. Zika331111113
LSep 16 · 17:00R. Polasek30771151T. Zika4211119113
R. Polasek10
WSep 23 · 07:00O. Paril1.75115141182R. Polasek1.95611164113WSep 22 · 13:30J. Szotkowski1.551457101R. Polasek2.25121111123LSep 22 · 12:00J. Szotkowski1.5711118113R. Polasek2.25891191WSep 22 · 11:00M. Vavrecka2.005650R. Polasek1.731111113WSep 22 · 10:30R. Polasek1.9111128113T. Zika1.808101161WSep 22 · 08:58M. Navedla2.10116114102R. Polasek1.67811811123LSep 22 · 08:00R. Polasek1.73114971M. Vavrecka2.0041111113LSep 22 · 07:30T. Zika1.8311115113R. Polasek1.83691171LSep 22 · 06:00R. Polasek1.611231321M. Navedla2.20141111113WSep 21 · 13:00R. Polasek1.911011159113R. Revay1.80126131172
T. Zika10
LSep 23 · 07:30T. Zika1.834850R. Revay1.831111113WSep 22 · 12:59T. Zika1.7311115113M. Vavrecka2.00961191WSep 22 · 12:30M. Vavrecka2.0031111762T. Zika1.73114211113LSep 22 · 11:30T. Zika1.91511851J. Szotkowski1.8011711113LSep 22 · 10:30R. Polasek1.9111128113T. Zika1.808101161WSep 22 · 09:30M. Vavrecka2.10711391T. Zika1.6511711113WSep 22 · 08:30M. Navedla1.911110561T. Zika1.8081211113WSep 22 · 07:30T. Zika1.8311115113R. Polasek1.83691171LSep 22 · 06:30M. Vavrecka2.10111189113T. Zika1.6769111172LSep 21 · 17:30J. Pilch1.801111104113T. Zika1.9189121192
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