TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 21Finished
Jakub Pilch
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1181191012411119
Tadeas Zika
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:29 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Pilch to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Pilch above · Tadeas Zika below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 96 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Jakub Pilch at 54.0%
96 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Pilch 47–34 Tadeas Zika Tadeas Zika has won 34 of their 81 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:29What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Pilch
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
47-34 in 81
Pilch
Correct
gap of 13 in 81, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pilch 1806 vs Zika 1753
Pilch
Correct
both rated, 53 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pilch 40% vs Zika 80%
Zika
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pilch 60% vs Zika 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pilch +1 · Zika +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pilch)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zika form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPilch 1.80 / Zika 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Pilch)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13172044
Pilch1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite53% won 50 of 94
Up 2–0, closes it91% 20 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it68% 34 of 50
Zika1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog46% won 308 of 670
Down 0–1, comes back28% 93 of 337
Down 0–2, comes back8% 14 of 175
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePilch4wins
AwayZika6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderZika leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePilch75%3 of 4
AwayZika83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pilch4Zika6n = 10Zika took 6 of 10
S2Pilch7Zika3n = 10Pilch took 7 of 10
S3Pilch3Zika7n = 10Zika took 7 of 10
S4Pilch3Zika3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPilchZikaP − ZBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match33.535.1−1.6per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPilchZikaBasisWin rate · lifetime230 / 455 vs 800 / 174250.6%45.9%230 / 455 vs 800 / 1742Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PilchPilch 1.80/Zika 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Pilch · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Pilch won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 21 · 16:00J. Pilch341111123T. Zika2697100
LSep 18 · 13:00J. Pilch36119881T. Zika3961111113
WSep 18 · 11:00J. Pilch4181111113T. Zika27117721
LJun 17 · 09:28J. Pilch2361250T. Zika361114113
LJun 17 · 06:30J. Pilch29711651T. Zika4111811113
LJun 12 · 12:30J. Pilch4241181182T. Zika47118116113
LMay 1 · 11:30J. Pilch30811291T. Zika4111811113
WApr 30 · 14:30J. Pilch4511158113T. Zika397131181
LApr 27 · 06:00J. Pilch228860T. Zika331111113
WApr 23 · 11:30J. Pilch331111113T. Zika229580
J. Pilch10
WSep 21 · 16:00J. Pilch1.801111123T. Zika1.9197100WSep 21 · 15:30D. Ondryas2.10101080J. Pilch1.661212113LSep 21 · 14:00J. Pilch1.73117791M. Grundel2.0081111113WSep 20 · 17:00J. Pilch1.911111113M. Grundel1.804990LSep 20 · 16:00T. Dousek1.53891111113J. Pilch2.3811114862LSep 20 · 15:00M. Navedla2.00981112113J. Pilch1.73111191042WSep 20 · 14:30J. Pilch2.10511511113M. Grundel1.6711711782WSep 19 · 17:31D. Tomica1.9011881172J. Pilch1.80511119113WSep 19 · 16:00M. Cabis1.806811101J. Pilch1.9111118123WSep 19 · 15:00M. Navedla2.006116141J. Pilch1.7311611163
T. Zika10
LSep 21 · 16:00J. Pilch1.801111123T. Zika1.9197100WSep 21 · 15:00M. Grundel2.00691181T. Zika1.7311119113WSep 21 · 14:30T. Zika2.001111113D. Ondryas1.732970LSep 21 · 13:30T. Zika2.00711691J. Szotkowski1.7311811113WSep 21 · 12:30R. Polasek1.9110760T. Zika1.801211113WSep 21 · 11:30T. Zika1.91118139113J. Szotkowski1.80711111172WSep 21 · 10:30R. Revay2.009820T. Zika1.731111113LSep 19 · 16:59T. Dousek1.67911117123T. Zika2.10119611102LSep 19 · 16:30T. Zika1.917121281J. Szotkowski1.80111410113LSep 19 · 15:00T. Zika3.759980M. Biolek1.251111113
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