TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 21Finished
Jakub Pilch
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1191171210––––
Tadeas Zika
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:44 and never touched — 69.2% is still 69.2%
Graded at full timeJakub Pilch to win
69.2%
69.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Pilch above · Tadeas Zika below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 60 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Jakub Pilch at 69.2%
60 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Pilch 45–33 Tadeas Zika Tadeas Zika has won 33 of their 78 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:44What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Pilch
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
45-33 in 78
Pilch
Correct
gap of 12 in 78, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pilch 1767 vs Zika 1794
Zika
Wrong
both rated, 26 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pilch 40% vs Zika 80%
Zika
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pilch 60% vs Zika 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pilch +1 · Zika +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zika) · live re-read · sealed at 31% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zika form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPilch 1.80 / Zika 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Zika)+5.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13164766
Pilch1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite53% won 50 of 94
Up 2–0, closes it91% 20 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it68% 34 of 50
Zika1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog46% won 308 of 670
Down 0–1, comes back28% 93 of 337
Down 0–2, comes back8% 14 of 175
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePilch4wins
AwayZika6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderZika leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePilch100%3 of 3
AwayZika85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pilch3Zika7n = 10Zika took 7 of 10
S2Pilch7Zika3n = 10Pilch took 7 of 10
S3Pilch3Zika7n = 10Zika took 7 of 10
S4Pilch3Zika4n = 7Zika took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPilchZikaP − ZBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match35.537.7−2.2per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPilchZikaBasisWin rate · lifetime229 / 454 vs 801 / 174350.4%46%229 / 454 vs 801 / 1743Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZikaPilch 1.80/Zika 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Zika · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Pilch won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJun 17 · 09:28J. Pilch2361250T. Zika361114113
LJun 17 · 06:30J. Pilch29711651T. Zika4111811113
LJun 12 · 12:30J. Pilch4241181182T. Zika47118116113
LMay 1 · 11:30J. Pilch30811291T. Zika4111811113
WApr 30 · 14:30J. Pilch4511158113T. Zika397131181
LApr 27 · 06:00J. Pilch228860T. Zika331111113
WApr 23 · 11:30J. Pilch331111113T. Zika229580
WApr 22 · 07:00J. Pilch49711119113T. Zika4111861152
LMar 16 · 13:30J. Pilch4110111191T. Zika4212613113
WMar 13 · 11:30J. Pilch4111811113T. Zika35911871
J. Pilch10
WSep 21 · 15:30D. Ondryas2.10101080J. Pilch1.661212113LSep 21 · 14:00J. Pilch1.73117791M. Grundel2.0081111113WSep 20 · 17:00J. Pilch1.911111113M. Grundel1.804990LSep 20 · 16:00T. Dousek1.53891111113J. Pilch2.3811114862LSep 20 · 15:00M. Navedla2.00981112113J. Pilch1.73111191042WSep 20 · 14:30J. Pilch2.10511511113M. Grundel1.6711711782WSep 19 · 17:31D. Tomica1.9011881172J. Pilch1.80511119113WSep 19 · 16:00M. Cabis1.806811101J. Pilch1.9111118123WSep 19 · 15:00M. Navedla2.006116141J. Pilch1.7311611163LSep 19 · 14:30J. Pilch1.73511951D. Tomica2.0011911113
T. Zika10
WSep 21 · 15:00M. Grundel2.00691181T. Zika1.7311119113WSep 21 · 14:30T. Zika2.001111113D. Ondryas1.732970LSep 21 · 13:30T. Zika2.00711691J. Szotkowski1.7311811113WSep 21 · 12:30R. Polasek1.9110760T. Zika1.801211113WSep 21 · 11:30T. Zika1.91118139113J. Szotkowski1.80711111172WSep 21 · 10:30R. Revay2.009820T. Zika1.731111113LSep 19 · 16:59T. Dousek1.67911117123T. Zika2.10119611102LSep 19 · 16:30T. Zika1.917121281J. Szotkowski1.80111410113LSep 19 · 15:00T. Zika3.759980M. Biolek1.251111113LSep 19 · 14:00T. Dousek1.50741113113T. Zika2.50111191162
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