TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Matyas Navedla vs Libor Prikasky 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1171191113111––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingMatyas Navedla above · Libor Prikasky below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 11-1
Point 74 set 4, 11-1
74 points played in total.
H2H Matyas Navedla 24–11 Libor Prikasky Libor Prikasky has won 11 of their 35 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Navedla beat Prikasky 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Navedla)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Navedla form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNavedla 1.50 / Prikasky 2.40
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Navedla)-1.2pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13200324
Navedla1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 43 of 72
Up 2–0, closes it93% 26 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it65% 30 of 46
Prikasky2.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 84 of 190
Down 0–1, comes back24% 25 of 106
Down 0–2, comes back9% 5 of 59
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNavedla6wins
AwayPrikasky4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderNavedla leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNavedla60%6 of 10
AwayPrikaskyn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Navedla10Prikasky0n = 10Navedla took 10 of 10
S2Navedla3Prikasky7n = 10Prikasky took 7 of 10
S3Navedla6Prikasky4n = 10Navedla took 6 of 10
S4Navedla6Prikasky2n = 8Navedla took 6 of 8
S5Navedla1Prikasky4n = 5Prikasky took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricNavedlaPrikaskyN − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set100+10of 10Avg pointsper match42.336.6+5.7per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNavedlaPrikaskyBasisWin rate · lifetime377 / 802 vs 267 / 48047%55.6%377 / 802 vs 267 / 480Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.636.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NavedlaNavedla 1.50/Prikasky 2.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.3%
Navedla · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Navedla won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 26 · 10:30M. Navedla331111113L. Prikasky134450
WSep 16 · 21:00M. Navedla331111113L. Prikasky237790
LSep 16 · 18:00M. Navedla501110711112L. Prikasky47812113133
WSep 14 · 20:58M. Navedla44111111113L. Prikasky31931361
WSep 14 · 19:30M. Navedla43111011113L. Prikasky27612451
WSep 5 · 09:00M. Navedla4311813113L. Prikasky356111171
WSep 5 · 06:30M. Navedla521111118113L. Prikasky4791351192
LSep 4 · 14:30M. Navedla44116124112L. Prikasky461111011133
LSep 4 · 13:00M. Navedla4011751252L. Prikasky529111110113
LSep 4 · 11:00M. Navedla4111761162L. Prikasky45511117113
M. Navedla10
LSep 26 · 12:30D. Tomica1.617111111143M. Navedla2.20116135122LSep 26 · 11:30M. Navedla2.10111410872J. Pilch1.671121211113WSep 26 · 10:30L. Prikasky2.104450M. Navedla1.671111113LSep 25 · 20:59M. Navedla2.25881181M. Cabis1.5711117113WSep 25 · 20:30M. Navedla2.20118611113M. Cabis1.6191111692LSep 25 · 19:00M. Navedla2.25810111172M. Vavrecka1.57111257113LSep 25 · 18:00R. Revay1.73111511113M. Navedla2.00717981WSep 25 · 09:00R. Revay1.671211111052M. Navedla2.10145812113WSep 25 · 08:30P. Wawrosz1.739840M. Navedla2.001111113LSep 25 · 07:30M. Navedla2.007780T. Zika1.731111113
L. Prikasky10
LSep 26 · 12:00J. Pilch1.831111113L. Prikasky1.839670LSep 26 · 11:00D. Tomica2.639111113113L. Prikasky1.4411461582LSep 26 · 10:30L. Prikasky2.104450M. Navedla1.671111113WSep 20 · 17:29L. Prikasky1.401111123M. Zahradka2.7548100WSep 20 · 16:30R. Rose2.1089140L. Prikasky1.671111163WSep 20 · 15:30L. Prikasky1.67112119113J. Jr2.1071181152WSep 20 · 14:30M. Zahradka2.63112111462L. Prikasky1.44811516113WSep 20 · 13:30M. Zahradka3.008760L. Prikasky1.361111113WSep 20 · 12:00M. Zahradka2.63117431L. Prikasky1.4471111113WSep 20 · 11:00J. Kanera2.251011631L. Prikasky1.5712911113
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