TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Jakub Pilch vs Libor Prikasky 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119116117––––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:07 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLibor Prikasky to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJakub Pilch above · Libor Prikasky below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 55 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Libor Prikasky at 54.0%
55 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Pilch 4–4 Libor Prikasky Dead even across their 8 meetings.
Last 8 · 4–4Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:07What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Prikasky
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-4 in 8
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pilch 1859 vs Prikasky 1779
Pilch
Correct
both rated, 80 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pilch 80% vs Prikasky 60%
Pilch
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pilch 70% vs Prikasky 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pilch +3 · Prikasky -2
Pilch
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pilch) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pilch form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPilch 1.83 / Prikasky 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Pilch)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13195262
Pilch1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Prikasky1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomePilch4wins
AwayPrikasky4wins
2 of 8 to a deciderLevel at 4–4, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePilch50%4 of 8
AwayPrikaskyn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pilch8Prikasky0n = 8Pilch took 8 of 8
S2Pilch4Prikasky4n = 8split evenly
S3Pilch4Prikasky4n = 8split evenly
S4Pilch2Prikasky3n = 5Prikasky took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home338%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away225%
1–3Four sets, away225%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricPilchPrikaskyPilch − PrikaskyBasisWins440in 8 meetingsFirst set80+8of 8Avg pointsper match37.433.5+3.9per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPilchPrikaskyBasisWin rate · lifetime227 / 449 vs 267 / 48050.6%55.6%227 / 449 vs 267 / 480Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.636.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PilchPilch 1.83/Prikasky 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Pilch · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Pilch won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WSep 26 · 12:00J. Pilch331111113L. Prikasky229670
LSep 12 · 07:00J. Pilch361191061L. Prikasky4281112113
WAug 2 · 10:30J. Pilch341211113L. Prikasky2310580
LJul 20 · 14:30J. Pilch4111591152L. Prikasky45711115113
WJun 18 · 17:00J. Pilch4211118123L. Prikasky335711101
LJun 18 · 14:30J. Pilch4611712882L. Prikasky507111011113
WJun 16 · 09:00J. Pilch331111113L. Prikasky141580
LJun 16 · 06:00J. Pilch34118691L. Prikasky3961111113
J. Pilch10
WSep 26 · 11:30M. Navedla2.10111410872J. Pilch1.671121211113WSep 26 · 10:00J. Pilch1.73391111133D. Tomica2.00111178112WSep 24 · 17:30D. Tomica2.001144101J. Pilch1.7361111123LSep 24 · 16:00D. Tomica1.9111611113J. Pilch1.80011781WSep 24 · 15:00M. Cabis1.91611571J. Pilch1.8011811113WSep 24 · 14:30J. Pilch1.7311311113M. Grundel2.00411591LSep 24 · 13:30J. Pilch2.90138114132R. Revay1.351111411153WSep 24 · 12:30T. Zika2.0011960J. Pilch1.731311113WSep 24 · 11:30J. Pilch2.7511114113J. Szotkowski1.40991171LSep 24 · 10:30R. Revay1.36711116113J. Pilch3.0011671152
L. Prikasky10
LSep 26 · 11:00D. Tomica2.639111113113L. Prikasky1.4411461582LSep 26 · 10:30L. Prikasky2.104450M. Navedla1.671111113WSep 20 · 17:29L. Prikasky1.401111123M. Zahradka2.7548100WSep 20 · 16:30R. Rose2.1089140L. Prikasky1.671111163WSep 20 · 15:30L. Prikasky1.67112119113J. Jr2.1071181152WSep 20 · 14:30M. Zahradka2.63112111462L. Prikasky1.44811516113WSep 20 · 13:30M. Zahradka3.008760L. Prikasky1.361111113WSep 20 · 12:00M. Zahradka2.63117431L. Prikasky1.4471111113WSep 20 · 11:00J. Kanera2.251011631L. Prikasky1.5712911113LSep 20 · 10:30L. Prikasky1.6111550F. Pusch2.201311113
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