TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Vojtech Cerny vs Samuel Byrtus 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 6Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
41113151412511––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:55 and never touched: 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeSamuel Byrtus to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingVojtech Cerny above · Samuel Byrtus below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 13-15
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 85 set 4, 5-11 · our read held Samuel Byrtus at 57.7%
85 points played in total.
H2H Vojtech Cerny 0–1 Samuel Byrtus Vojtech Cerny has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:5557.7%Our read61.9%to break even at 1.615
short by 4.2pp61.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.615 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Byrtus
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Cerny 1541 vs Byrtus 1599
Byrtus
Correct
both rated, 58 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cerny 20% vs Byrtus 60%
Byrtus
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cerny 30% vs Byrtus 60%
Byrtus
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Cerny -2 · Byrtus +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% · Slight lean (leans Byrtus) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cerny form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCerny 2.20 / Byrtus 1.615
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Byrtus)-4.2pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13248758
Cerny2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 12 of 33
Down 0–1, comes back26% 6 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 12
Byrtus1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite61% won 90 of 148
Up 2–0, closes it91% 42 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it75% 61 of 81
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeCerny0wins
AwayByrtus1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderByrtus leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricCernyByrtusC − BBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match35.045.0−10.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCernyByrtusBasisWin rate · lifetime54 / 111 vs 295 / 57148.7%51.7%54 / 111 vs 295 / 571Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.238.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
ByrtusCerny 2.20/Byrtus 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Byrtus · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Byrtus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LMar 12 · 15:30V. Cerny3511371132S. Byrtus45711115113
V. Cerny10
LOct 6 · 10:00M. Heczko1.4411911113V. Cerny2.63011291LOct 6 · 08:59J. Levicky1.83811118113V. Cerny1.8311491182WOct 6 · 08:00J. Levicky1.61117791V. Cerny2.2061111113LOct 6 · 07:00P. Danko1.8391111113V. Cerny1.83116891LOct 6 · 06:30V. Cerny2.508470M. Heczko1.501111113LSep 20 · 21:28D. Oborny2.0011511113V. Cerny1.73411851LSep 20 · 20:00D. Oborny2.381111153V. Cerny1.5386130WSep 20 · 19:00L. Velicka1.918560V. Cerny1.801111113WSep 20 · 18:30V. Cerny2.63121296113M. Volny1.441010111192LSep 17 · 21:30V. Cerny1.7311661192V. Adamczyk2.00911116113
S. Byrtus10
LOct 6 · 12:00M. Heczko1.80511911113S. Byrtus1.9111811972WOct 6 · 10:30S. Byrtus1.7391111113J. Levicky2.00116771WOct 6 · 09:04S. Byrtus2.105121113113A. Rinka1.67111081562LOct 6 · 08:00R. Skacelik1.57118113113S. Byrtus2.2541181192LOct 6 · 07:00V. Adamczyk1.571111113S. Byrtus2.258560WOct 6 · 06:30S. Byrtus1.831112143A. Rinka1.83910120LOct 5 · 09:30S. Byrtus1.73156100J. Levicky2.001711123WOct 5 · 08:30S. Byrtus1.831311116113M. Heczko1.8315681182WOct 5 · 07:00S. Byrtus1.6781111113O. Hradil2.10114721WOct 5 · 06:00J. Levicky2.1012911982S. Byrtus1.671011611113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.