TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Richard Skacelik vs Samuel Byrtus 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 6Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
114811118311119
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:56 and never touched: 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeRichard Skacelik to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingRichard Skacelik above · Samuel Byrtus below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 3-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 87 set 5, 11-9 · our read held Richard Skacelik at 59.3%
87 points played in total.
H2H Richard Skacelik 8–5 Samuel Byrtus Samuel Byrtus has won 5 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:5659.3%Our read63.7%to break even at 1.571
short by 4.4pp63.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.571 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Skacelik
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
8-5 in 13
Skacelik
Correct
gap of 3 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skacelik 1623 vs Byrtus 1576
Skacelik
Correct
both rated, 46 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skacelik 20% vs Byrtus 60%
Byrtus
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skacelik 30% vs Byrtus 60%
Byrtus
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skacelik -3 · Byrtus -1
Skacelik
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% · Slight lean (leans Skacelik) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Byrtus form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkacelik 1.571 / Byrtus 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Skacelik)-4.4pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13248923
Skacelik1.57
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 68 of 118
Up 2–0, closes it92% 34 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it70% 51 of 73
Byrtus2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog47% won 72 of 155
Down 0–1, comes back29% 25 of 85
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkacelik6wins
AwayByrtus4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSkacelik leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkacelik71.4%5 of 7
AwayByrtus66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skacelik7Byrtus3n = 10Skacelik took 7 of 10
S2Skacelik5Byrtus5n = 10split evenly
S3Skacelik9Byrtus1n = 10Skacelik took 9 of 10
S4Skacelik3Byrtus4n = 7Byrtus took 4 of 7
S5Skacelik1Byrtus3n = 4Byrtus took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkacelikByrtusS − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.734.1+4.6per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkacelikByrtusBasisWin rate · lifetime243 / 499 vs 294 / 57048.7%51.6%243 / 499 vs 294 / 570Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.838.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SkacelikSkacelik 1.57/Byrtus 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.3%
Skacelik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Skacelik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 6 · 08:00R. Skacelik44118113113S. Byrtus4341181192
LSep 18 · 06:00R. Skacelik4712711892S. Byrtus451011211113
LSep 14 · 17:30R. Skacelik4487111172S. Byrtus46111185113
WSep 14 · 15:00R. Skacelik3911116113S. Byrtus32891141
WSep 9 · 12:00R. Skacelik331111113S. Byrtus185490
LAug 19 · 13:28R. Skacelik3611411372S. Byrtus49811811113
WAug 19 · 12:00R. Skacelik331111113S. Byrtus183870
LJul 24 · 12:58R. Skacelik378711111S. Byrtus4311118133
WJul 24 · 12:00R. Skacelik331111113S. Byrtus229490
WJul 13 · 17:04R. Skacelik4181111113S. Byrtus25115361
R. Skacelik10
LOct 6 · 07:30A. Rinka2.20116711113R. Skacelik1.6191111782LOct 6 · 06:00R. Skacelik1.671156111V. Adamczyk2.1081111133LOct 4 · 09:28R. Skacelik1.9161151152D. Langer1.80119117113WOct 4 · 08:30R. Skacelik2.00125811113E. Rychlik1.73101111892LOct 4 · 07:00R. Skacelik1.807121191D. Heczko1.9111147113WOct 4 · 06:00D. Langer1.5711980R. Skacelik2.251311113LOct 2 · 09:16R. Skacelik1.92711991J. Mikula1.7811611113LOct 2 · 08:00R. Skacelik1.80111091192J. Schwan1.91712115113WOct 2 · 07:30J. Mikula1.7351111772R. Skacelik2.00116411113LOct 2 · 06:00R. Skacelik1.3014881182J. Levicky3.401211117113
S. Byrtus10
LOct 6 · 07:00V. Adamczyk1.571111113S. Byrtus2.258560WOct 6 · 06:30S. Byrtus1.831112143A. Rinka1.83910120LOct 5 · 09:30S. Byrtus1.73156100J. Levicky2.001711123WOct 5 · 08:30S. Byrtus1.831311116113M. Heczko1.8315681182WOct 5 · 07:00S. Byrtus1.6781111113O. Hradil2.10114721WOct 5 · 06:00J. Levicky2.1012911982S. Byrtus1.671011611113LOct 4 · 09:29D. Oborny1.53119119113S. Byrtus2.3881171182WOct 4 · 08:00J. Levicky1.919111171S. Byrtus1.8011137113LOct 4 · 07:00D. Oborny1.57111111113S. Byrtus2.25791351WOct 4 · 06:30S. Byrtus1.7311119113D. Machander2.00561161
Upcoming Matches
R. Skacelik
Nothing scheduled
S. Byrtus
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