TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Lukas Dzida vs David Skulina 0-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911911711––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:57 and never touched: 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeDavid Skulina to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingLukas Dzida above · David Skulina below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 58 set 3, 7-11 · our read held David Skulina at 55.8%
58 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:5755.8%Our read60.0%to break even at 1.666
short by 4.2pp60.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.666 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Skulina
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Dzida 1572 vs Skulina 1641
Skulina
Correct
both rated, 69 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dzida 40% vs Skulina 100%
Skulina
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dzida 50% vs Skulina 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dzida -1 · Skulina +5
Skulina
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% · Slight lean (leans Skulina) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skulina form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDzida 2.10 / Skulina 1.666
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Skulina)-4.2pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13247769
Dzida2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog57% won 42 of 74
Down 0–1, comes back43% 17 of 40
Down 0–2, comes back13% 2 of 15
Skulina1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 26 of 48
Up 2–0, closes it87% 13 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it72% 21 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricDzidaSkulinaBasisWin rate · lifetime133 / 246 vs 92 / 18254.1%50.6%133 / 246 vs 92 / 182Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SkulinaDzida 2.10/Skulina 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Skulina · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Skulina won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
L. Dzida10
LOct 5 · 13:40F. Chaloupka1.67111011113L. Dzida2.10412751WOct 4 · 16:46R. Solle1.9159100L. Dzida1.801111123WOct 4 · 15:40L. Dzida2.2571111113R. Benes1.57114771LOct 4 · 14:40L. Dzida2.00911881D. Velky Jr1.7311611113LOct 4 · 13:40L. Dzida1.73911661R. Solle2.0011511113WOct 2 · 12:48L. Dzida2.00592011113M. Macurak1.73111118542WOct 2 · 12:15E. Precek1.911111841L. Dzida1.8013611113LOct 2 · 11:15L. Dzida1.7312970T. Krenek2.001411113WOct 2 · 09:45M. Macurak1.5711116962L. Dzida2.25891111113LOct 1 · 17:30L. Dzida1.7391080A. Kanak2.001112113
D. Skulina10
WOct 5 · 15:40F. Chaloupka1.73121180D. Skulina2.001413113WOct 5 · 14:10D. Skulina1.5311117123K. Kleprlik2.386811101WSep 22 · 17:25D. Skulina1.671113123J. Pribyl2.10811100WSep 22 · 15:45B. Moravec1.4461111111D. Skulina2.6311613133WSep 22 · 15:15F. Chaloupka1.7396111262D. Skulina2.001111810113WSep 22 · 14:15D. Skulina2.10111011113J. Pribyl1.67912181LSep 21 · 16:40A. Kanak2.1511312113D. Skulina1.639111041LSep 21 · 15:45D. Skulina1.83671271J. Krupnik1.83111110113LSep 21 · 14:45D. Skulina1.6171160B. Mrowetz2.201113113LSep 21 · 13:45D. Skulina1.7311771172A. Kanak2.00511118113
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