TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Erik Precek vs Lukas Dzida 1-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 2Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1113116811411––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:01 and never touched: 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeLukas Dzida to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingErik Precek above · Lukas Dzida below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 75 set 4, 4-11 · our read held Lukas Dzida at 56.2%
75 points played in total.
H2H Erik Precek 2–4 Lukas Dzida Erik Precek has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:0156.2%Our read55.6%to break even at 1.80
clears by 0.6pp55.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.80 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Dzida
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
2-4 in 6
Dzida
Correct
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Precek 1570 vs Dzida 1569
Precek
Wrong
both rated, 1 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Precek 100% vs Dzida 60%
Precek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Precek 60% vs Dzida 40%
Precek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Precek +5 · Dzida -1
Precek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% · Slight lean (leans Dzida) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Precek form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrecek 1.909 / Dzida 1.80
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Dzida)+0.6pp
TT Cup · #13230359
Precek1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog42% won 65 of 156
Down 0–1, comes back23% 19 of 84
Down 0–2, comes back10% 5 of 50
Dzida1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite55% won 54 of 98
Up 2–0, closes it95% 19 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it68% 34 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomePrecek2wins
AwayDzida4wins
Dzida leads 4–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrecekn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayDzida75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Precek2Dzida4n = 6Dzida took 4 of 6
S2Precek4Dzida2n = 6Precek took 4 of 6
S3Precek2Dzida4n = 6Dzida took 4 of 6
S4Precek1Dzida3n = 4Dzida took 3 of 4
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away350%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricPrecekDzidaP − DBasisWins24−2in 6 meetingsFirst set24−2of 6Avg pointsper match32.234.8−2.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrecekDzidaBasisWin rate · lifetime239 / 508 vs 130 / 24047.1%54.2%239 / 508 vs 130 / 240Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
DzidaPrecek 1.91/Dzida 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.2%
Dzida · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Dzida won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LOct 2 · 12:15E. Precek341111841L. Dzida4113611113
LSep 27 · 10:15E. Precek30117751L. Dzida4181111113
LAug 30 · 08:49E. Precek216870L. Dzida331111113
LAug 30 · 05:45E. Precek32511881L. Dzida3811511113
WAug 15 · 17:20E. Precek341112113L. Dzida1841040
WAug 15 · 15:40E. Precek4291111113L. Dzida38119991
E. Precek10
WOct 2 · 10:45M. Macurak1.57115861E. Precek2.2591111113WOct 2 · 10:15T. Krenek1.73891111102E. Precek2.00111187123WOct 2 · 09:20M. Raska2.3891090E. Precek1.531112113WOct 2 · 07:45R. Sedlacek1.53611118102E. Precek2.38113811123WOct 2 · 07:15M. Raska2.20411651E. Precek1.6111411113LOct 2 · 06:15E. Precek1.6111101151L. Lasota2.2041213113WOct 1 · 08:38R. Benes1.441061251E. Precek2.63121110113LOct 1 · 08:10R. Benes1.6111114133E. Precek2.209911111LOct 1 · 07:10E. Precek2.2011611121J. Krupnik1.6131113143LOct 1 · 05:40B. Mrowetz1.731211119113E. Precek2.00107131192
L. Dzida10
WOct 2 · 12:48L. Dzida2.00592011113M. Macurak1.73111118542LOct 2 · 11:15L. Dzida1.7312970T. Krenek2.001411113WOct 2 · 09:45M. Macurak1.5711116962L. Dzida2.25891111113LOct 1 · 17:30L. Dzida1.7391080A. Kanak2.001112113WOct 1 · 16:15L. Dzida1.839111110113V. Konvicka1.8311781272WOct 1 · 14:45A. Kanak2.0061340L. Dzida1.731115113LOct 1 · 14:15M. Moravec1.6761111113L. Dzida2.10119991WOct 1 · 12:34T. Kindl1.531141061L. Dzida2.3871112113LOct 1 · 12:10L. Dzida1.834890T. Kindl1.831111113LOct 1 · 10:40D. Velky Jr1.911511133L. Dzida1.80138110
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