TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Radek Benes vs Erik Precek 1-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 1Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
10126111210511––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
How it is goingRadek Benes above · Erik Precek below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 77 set 4, 5-11
77 points played in total.
H2H Radek Benes 17–14 Erik Precek Erik Precek has won 14 of their 31 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Benes beat Precek 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Precek form (0%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBenes 1.444 / Precek 2.625
TT Cup · #13226870
Benes1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite58% won 183 of 318
Up 2–0, closes it94% 78 of 83
Up 1–0, closes it77% 123 of 159
Precek2.63
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 64 of 152
Down 0–1, comes back23% 19 of 82
Down 0–2, comes back10% 5 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBenes5wins
AwayPrecek5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBenes80%4 of 5
AwayPrecek80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Benes5Precek5n = 10split evenly
S2Benes4Precek6n = 10Precek took 6 of 10
S3Benes4Precek6n = 10Precek took 6 of 10
S4Benes4Precek3n = 7Benes took 4 of 7
S5Benes2Precek1n = 3Benes took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricBenesPrecekB − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.537.7−0.2per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBenesPrecekBasisWin rate · lifetime524 / 1004 vs 233 / 50052.2%46.6%524 / 1004 vs 233 / 500Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
BenesBenes 1.44/Precek 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
1–3
Precek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 1 · 08:10R. Benes3911114133E. Precek409911111
WSep 23 · 07:10R. Benes45114811113E. Precek4041111952
WAug 2 · 12:38R. Benes331111113E. Precek195770
LAug 2 · 10:10R. Benes2696110E. Precek351111133
WAug 1 · 16:10R. Benes4111118113E. Precek37991181
LJul 16 · 11:10R. Benes481141211102E. Precek515111013123
WJul 14 · 12:50R. Benes47591111113E. Precek4211115692
LJul 14 · 11:15R. Benes367811101E. Precek4011116123
LJul 14 · 05:45R. Benes36911971E. Precek4011711113
LJul 9 · 06:45R. Benes247890E. Precek331111113
R. Benes10
WOct 1 · 08:10R. Benes1.6111114133E. Precek2.209911111LOct 1 · 06:40B. Mrowetz1.6711911113R. Benes2.10611771WOct 1 · 06:10J. Krupnik1.8399111182R. Benes1.83111197113WSep 30 · 13:08M. Moravec1.839112111R. Benes1.8311911133LSep 30 · 11:40M. Moravec2.001113113R. Benes1.7361180WSep 30 · 11:10L. Dzida2.008650R. Benes1.731111113WSep 30 · 10:10R. Benes1.83121210113T. Kindl1.8310101291LSep 30 · 09:09R. Sedlacek2.001191110113R. Benes1.7351161292LSep 30 · 07:40R. Sedlacek2.0041112113R. Benes1.731171061WSep 30 · 07:10D. Pawlik2.2012101171R. Benes1.6114126113
E. Precek10
LOct 1 · 08:10R. Benes1.6111114133E. Precek2.209911111LOct 1 · 07:10E. Precek2.2011611121J. Krupnik1.6131113143LOct 1 · 05:40B. Mrowetz1.731211119113E. Precek2.00107131192LSep 29 · 12:49M. Moravec1.443111411153E. Precek2.63117166132LSep 29 · 11:40E. Precek2.25118411M. Moravec1.5751111113LSep 29 · 10:40E. Precek1.6757100D. Pawlik2.101111123WSep 29 · 09:40E. Precek1.8011314113A. Cizek1.918111261WSep 27 · 12:45D. Pawlik1.938670E. Precek1.781111113LSep 27 · 12:15E. Precek1.809101381D. Pawlik1.91111211113WSep 27 · 10:45D. Velky Jr1.67111111852E. Precek2.10138511113
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