TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Radek Sedlacek vs Radek Benes 3-2 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 30Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1159111161012119
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingRadek Sedlacek above · Radek Benes below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 95 set 5, 11-9
95 points played in total.
H2H Radek Sedlacek 18–21 Radek Benes Radek Sedlacek has won 18 of their 39 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Sedlacek beat Benes 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Benes form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSedlacek 2.00 / Benes 1.727
TT Cup · #13221106
Sedlacek2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog46% won 36 of 79
Down 0–1, comes back27% 12 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 25
Benes1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 180 of 312
Up 2–0, closes it94% 76 of 81
Up 1–0, closes it78% 121 of 156
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSedlacek4wins
AwayBenes6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderBenes leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSedlacek60%3 of 5
AwayBenes80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sedlacek5Benes5n = 10split evenly
S2Sedlacek6Benes4n = 10Sedlacek took 6 of 10
S3Sedlacek5Benes5n = 10split evenly
S4Sedlacek2Benes5n = 7Benes took 5 of 7
S5Sedlacek1Benes2n = 3Benes took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSedlacekBenesS − BBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.838.80.0per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSedlacekBenesBasisWin rate · lifetime158 / 336 vs 519 / 99647%52.1%158 / 336 vs 519 / 996Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
BenesSedlacek 2.00/Benes 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
3–2
Sedlacek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 30 · 07:40R. Sedlacek3841112113R. Benes341171061
LSep 19 · 12:15R. Sedlacek228680R. Benes331111113
WSep 19 · 08:45R. Sedlacek581511129113R. Benes55138141192
WSep 19 · 08:15R. Sedlacek371112143R. Benes27510120
LSep 9 · 10:10R. Sedlacek4411511892R. Benes43411611113
LSep 9 · 07:40R. Sedlacek361011691R. Benes4312911113
LSep 2 · 10:45R. Sedlacek35871191R. Benes3911116113
LAug 10 · 10:10R. Sedlacek361110691R. Benes3841211113
WJul 27 · 08:10R. Sedlacek351111133R. Benes2595110
LJun 24 · 13:15R. Sedlacek47611713102R. Benes511161111123
R. Sedlacek10
WSep 30 · 07:40R. Sedlacek2.0041112113R. Benes1.731171061LSep 30 · 06:40R. Sedlacek1.61117111162T. Kindl2.20411139113WSep 30 · 05:40R. Sedlacek1.8312911113D. Pawlik1.831011871WSep 28 · 09:15M. Raska2.75811821R. Sedlacek1.4011811113WSep 28 · 07:40T. Krenek1.73811121152R. Sedlacek2.00116147113LSep 28 · 07:10M. Raska2.751110115113R. Sedlacek1.4091291182WSep 28 · 06:10R. Sedlacek1.53111114113D. Vitasek2.381361231LSep 24 · 13:10R. Sedlacek1.67951251L. Dzida2.10111110113WSep 24 · 12:10R. Sedlacek1.8011512113L. Dzida1.914111021WSep 24 · 10:40T. Krenek1.73651181R. Sedlacek2.0011119113
R. Benes10
WSep 30 · 10:10R. Benes1.83121210113T. Kindl1.8310101291LSep 30 · 07:40R. Sedlacek2.0041112113R. Benes1.731171061WSep 30 · 07:10D. Pawlik2.2012101171R. Benes1.6114126113WSep 30 · 06:10R. Benes1.80101111123T. Kindl1.911296101WSep 29 · 09:18R. Benes1.6711611113I. Heuman2.10211891WSep 29 · 08:10R. Benes1.67181110143D. Pawlik2.1016712121WSep 29 · 06:40J. Travnicek2.25113681R. Benes1.5781111113LSep 29 · 06:10I. Heuman2.20115711113R. Benes1.6141111592WSep 28 · 17:10A. Kanak2.0061260R. Benes1.731114113LSep 28 · 15:40K. Kleprlik1.91311115113R. Benes1.8011781172
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