TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Radek Sedlacek vs Tomas Kindl 2-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 30Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1147111113119611
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:36 and never touched: 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeRadek Sedlacek to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRadek Sedlacek above · Tomas Kindl below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 94 set 5, 6-11 · our read held Radek Sedlacek at 60.1%
94 points played in total.
H2H Radek Sedlacek 7–4 Tomas Kindl Tomas Kindl has won 4 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:3660.1%Our read61.9%to break even at 1.615
short by 1.8pp61.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.615 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Sedlacek
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
7-4 in 11
Sedlacek
Wrong
gap of 3 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sedlacek 1584 vs Kindl 1513
Sedlacek
Wrong
both rated, 71 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sedlacek 80% vs Kindl 0%
Sedlacek
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sedlacek 70% vs Kindl 30%
Sedlacek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sedlacek +3 · Kindl -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% · Slight lean (leans Sedlacek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kindl form (0%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSedlacek 1.615 / Kindl 2.20
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Sedlacek)-1.8pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13219251
Sedlacek1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite51% won 43 of 85
Up 2–0, closes it79% 15 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it69% 27 of 39
Kindl2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 49 of 118
Down 0–1, comes back22% 13 of 59
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSedlacek6wins
AwayKindl4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderSedlacek leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSedlacek66.7%2 of 3
AwayKindl42.9%3 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sedlacek3Kindl7n = 10Kindl took 7 of 10
S2Sedlacek6Kindl4n = 10Sedlacek took 6 of 10
S3Sedlacek8Kindl2n = 10Sedlacek took 8 of 10
S4Sedlacek5Kindl4n = 9Sedlacek took 5 of 9
S5Sedlacek3Kindl3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSedlacekKindlS − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match45.541.1+4.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSedlacekKindlBasisWin rate · lifetime157 / 335 vs 220 / 44446.9%49.6%157 / 335 vs 220 / 444Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.441.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SedlacekSedlacek 1.61/Kindl 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.1%
Sedlacek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kindl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 30 · 06:40R. Sedlacek46117111162T. Kindl48411139113
WSep 24 · 08:10R. Sedlacek48131113113T. Kindl331141531
WSep 18 · 06:40R. Sedlacek48611137113T. Kindl42112111172
LJun 26 · 13:00R. Sedlacek38991191T. Kindl4111118113
LJun 26 · 10:45R. Sedlacek46861111102T. Kindl48111177123
WJun 17 · 21:15R. Sedlacek3851111113T. Kindl33118591
LJun 17 · 19:10R. Sedlacek511211121062T. Kindl541471012113
WApr 6 · 20:50R. Sedlacek51991111113T. Kindl3911115752
WApr 6 · 19:10R. Sedlacek537111113113T. Kindl4311751552
WMar 17 · 07:10R. Sedlacek361112133T. Kindl30910110
R. Sedlacek10
WSep 30 · 05:40R. Sedlacek1.8312911113D. Pawlik1.831011871WSep 28 · 09:15M. Raska2.75811821R. Sedlacek1.4011811113WSep 28 · 07:40T. Krenek1.73811121152R. Sedlacek2.00116147113LSep 28 · 07:10M. Raska2.751110115113R. Sedlacek1.4091291182WSep 28 · 06:10R. Sedlacek1.53111114113D. Vitasek2.381361231LSep 24 · 13:10R. Sedlacek1.67951251L. Dzida2.10111110113WSep 24 · 12:10R. Sedlacek1.8011512113L. Dzida1.914111021WSep 24 · 10:40T. Krenek1.73651181R. Sedlacek2.0011119113WSep 24 · 10:10D. Pawlik1.61116191R. Sedlacek2.2051111113LSep 24 · 09:15D. Velky Jr2.0011116113R. Sedlacek1.73491151
T. Kindl10
LSep 30 · 06:10R. Benes1.80101111123T. Kindl1.911296101LSep 24 · 08:45T. Krenek1.63121111113T. Kindl2.13148381LSep 24 · 08:10R. Sedlacek1.73131113113T. Kindl2.001141531LSep 24 · 07:10T. Kindl1.919880D. Velky Jr1.801111113LSep 24 · 05:40T. Krenek1.671111811113T. Kindl2.1098111372WSep 22 · 09:24T. Krenek2.1010911101T. Kindl1.6712117123LSep 22 · 08:15M. Moravec2.00111182113T. Kindl1.7397111182WSep 22 · 07:15T. Kindl1.91111189113R. Benes1.8059111192WSep 22 · 05:45T. Krenek1.6711781182T. Kindl2.10511119113LSep 21 · 12:50T. Kindl1.508151091M. Moravec2.50111312113
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