TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Ladislav Dobias vs Volodymyr Burylov 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118118117––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:43 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Burylov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingLadislav Dobias above · Volodymyr Burylov below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 56 set 3, 11-7 · our read held Volodymyr Burylov at 54.0%
56 points played in total.
H2H Ladislav Dobias 29–28 Volodymyr Burylov Volodymyr Burylov has won 28 of their 57 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:4354.0%Our read54.6%to break even at 1.833
short by 0.6pp54.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.833 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Burylov
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
29-28 in 57
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dobias 1704 vs Burylov 1710
Burylov
Wrong
both rated, 6 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dobias 40% vs Burylov 60%
Burylov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dobias 50% vs Burylov 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dobias -2 · Burylov +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Burylov) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dobias form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDobias 1.833 / Burylov 1.833
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Burylov)-0.6pp
Setka Cup · #13245547
Dobias1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Burylov1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDobias4wins
AwayBurylov6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderBurylov leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDobias100%3 of 3
AwayBurylov85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dobias3Burylov7n = 10Burylov took 7 of 10
S2Dobias6Burylov4n = 10Dobias took 6 of 10
S3Dobias3Burylov7n = 10Burylov took 7 of 10
S4Dobias2Burylov5n = 7Burylov took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricDobiasBurylovD − BBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match35.638.9−3.3per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDobiasBurylovBasisWin rate · lifetime444 / 805 vs 223 / 45055.2%49.6%444 / 805 vs 223 / 450Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match41.239.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
BurylovDobias 1.83/Burylov 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Burylov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Dobias won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 5 · 06:45L. Dobias331111113V. Burylov238870
WOct 3 · 19:45L. Dobias518111110113V. Burylov4911891292
LOct 3 · 09:45L. Dobias369115111V. Burylov3911411133
LSep 30 · 18:45L. Dobias27612361V. Burylov43111011113
LSep 30 · 12:45L. Dobias2671360V. Burylov371115113
LSep 30 · 09:45L. Dobias197570V. Burylov331111113
WSep 23 · 06:15L. Dobias52117914113V. Burylov46811111242
WSep 22 · 08:18L. Dobias3911116113V. Burylov31651191
LSep 22 · 05:45L. Dobias441881171V. Burylov4920117113
LSep 18 · 19:45L. Dobias29511671V. Burylov3911611113
L. Dobias10
WOct 5 · 07:15P. Wasik1.8311811862L. Dobias1.83911911113LOct 5 · 05:45L. Dobias1.57129111062R. Pisa2.251011412113LOct 4 · 08:43A. Snr2.10811114123L. Dobias1.67114911102WOct 4 · 07:15L. Dobias1.67116119113M. Makara2.1081171182LOct 4 · 06:15L. Dobias1.5057120A. Snr2.501111143WOct 4 · 05:15L. Dobias1.80121311113L. Rulc1.911411691WOct 3 · 20:54L. Dobias1.8091112113L. Rulc1.911131081WOct 3 · 19:45V. Burylov1.8311891292L. Dobias1.838111110113WOct 3 · 18:45L. Rulc2.0012891272L. Dobias1.7310111110113LOct 3 · 17:15M. Kocvara2.3813912113L. Dobias1.5311111091
V. Burylov10
WOct 5 · 07:45R. Pisa2.0011115792V. Burylov1.73921111113WOct 5 · 05:15P. Wasik1.501151031V. Burylov2.5061112113WOct 4 · 16:14V. Burylov2.101111107113M. Zelinka1.6768121142LOct 4 · 15:45M. Makara1.8311512113V. Burylov1.839111071LOct 4 · 14:45M. Zelinka1.9111119123V. Burylov1.806711101WOct 4 · 13:15D. Gasparovic1.8313101091V. Burylov1.83111212113LOct 3 · 20:23V. Burylov1.731313241M. Kocvara2.00151111113LOct 3 · 19:45V. Burylov1.8311891292L. Dobias1.838111110113WOct 3 · 18:15M. Kocvara1.806240V. Burylov1.911111113LOct 3 · 17:45L. Rulc2.101112113V. Burylov1.6791070
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.