TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Ales Brandtl Snr vs Ladislav Dobias 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 4Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
8111141194111210
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingAles Brandtl Snr above · Ladislav Dobias below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 91 set 5, 12-10
91 points played in total.
H2H Ales Brandtl Snr 2–2 Ladislav Dobias Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Snr beat Dobias 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dobias form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSnr 2.10 / Dobias 1.666
Setka Cup · #13242683
Snr2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog35% won 6 of 17
Down 0–1, comes back17% 2 of 12
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 7
Dobias1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite57% won 199 of 350
Up 2–0, closes it96% 72 of 75
Up 1–0, closes it80% 142 of 178
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeSnr2wins
AwayDobias2wins
1 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Snr2Dobias2n = 4split evenly
S2Snr2Dobias2n = 4split evenly
S3Snr3Dobias1n = 4Snr took 3 of 4
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home250%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricSnrDobiasS − DBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match32.534.5−2.0per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSnrDobiasBasisWin rate · lifetime17 / 46 vs 442 / 80137%55.2%17 / 46 vs 442 / 801Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.841.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
DobiasSnr 2.10/Dobias 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
3–2
Snr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WOct 4 · 06:15A. Snr361111143L. Dobias2457120
WSep 18 · 20:13A. Snr351113113L. Dobias2991190
LSep 18 · 18:15A. Snr4269121142L. Dobias521111109113
LJun 23 · 14:15A. Snr178540L. Dobias331111113
A. Snr10
WOct 4 · 07:45A. Snr2.0071111113L. Rulc1.73115661WOct 4 · 06:15L. Dobias1.5057120A. Snr2.501111143WOct 4 · 05:45M. Makara2.00691121A. Snr1.7311119113WSep 18 · 20:13L. Dobias1.4491190A. Snr2.631113113LSep 18 · 19:15A. Snr2.00671181J. Krames Sr1.7311118113LSep 18 · 18:15A. Snr2.6369121142L. Dobias1.441111109113LSep 18 · 17:15A. Snr1.8310990V. Burylov1.831211113WSep 12 · 12:17V. Burylov1.80116951A. Snr1.9181111113WSep 12 · 11:15A. Snr2.1091113113V. Burylov1.671171191LSep 12 · 10:15A. Snr1.838960L. Svoboda1.831111113
L. Dobias10
WOct 4 · 07:15L. Dobias1.67116119113M. Makara2.1081171182LOct 4 · 06:15L. Dobias1.5057120A. Snr2.501111143WOct 4 · 05:15L. Dobias1.80121311113L. Rulc1.911411691WOct 3 · 20:54L. Dobias1.8091112113L. Rulc1.911131081WOct 3 · 19:45V. Burylov1.8311891292L. Dobias1.838111110113WOct 3 · 18:45L. Rulc2.0012891272L. Dobias1.7310111110113LOct 3 · 17:15M. Kocvara2.3813912113L. Dobias1.5311111091LOct 3 · 12:14L. Rulc2.201412118123L. Dobias1.611214911102LSep 18 · 20:13L. Dobias1.4491190A. Snr2.631113113WSep 18 · 18:15A. Snr2.6369121142L. Dobias1.441111109113
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