TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Petr Wasik vs Radovan Pisa 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
113119115––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:02 and never touched: 67.1% is still 67.1%
Graded at full timePetr Wasik to win
67.1%
67.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Wasik above · Radovan Pisa below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 50 set 3, 11-5 · our read held Petr Wasik at 67.1%
50 points played in total.
H2H Petr Wasik 2–0 Radovan Pisa Radovan Pisa has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:0267.1%Our read71.4%to break even at 1.40
short by 4.3pp71.4% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.40 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Wasik
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Wasik 1771 vs Pisa 1694
Wasik
Correct
both rated, 78 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wasik 20% vs Pisa 40%
Pisa
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wasik 50% vs Pisa 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wasik -2 · Pisa +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% · Clear lean (leans Wasik) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wasik form (20%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWasik 1.40 / Pisa 2.75
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Wasik)-4.3pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13245376
Wasik1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 47 of 77
Up 2–0, closes it96% 22 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it81% 33 of 41
Pisa2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog48% won 86 of 181
Down 0–1, comes back29% 28 of 97
Down 0–2, comes back13% 7 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeWasik2wins
AwayPisa0wins
Wasik leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home2
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricWasikPisaW − PBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match33.015.5+17.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWasikPisaBasisWin rate · lifetime88 / 148 vs 381 / 78959.5%48.3%88 / 148 vs 381 / 789Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.139.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
WasikWasik 1.40/Pisa 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.1%
Wasik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Wasik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WOct 5 · 06:15P. Wasik331111113R. Pisa173950
WMay 19 · 10:15P. Wasik331111113R. Pisa142750
P. Wasik10
LOct 5 · 07:15P. Wasik1.8311811862L. Dobias1.83911911113LOct 5 · 05:15P. Wasik1.501151031V. Burylov2.5061112113LSep 24 · 08:19P. Wasik1.9184121232T. Hlavacek1.8011111010113WSep 24 · 07:15T. Hlavacek1.67681471P. Wasik2.10111112113LSep 24 · 06:45P. Wasik1.731112791M. Bouska2.0081411113LSep 24 · 05:45P. Wasik1.36121112692M. Stibor3.001461011113WSep 21 · 08:48V. Burylov2.7511581192P. Wasik1.40311119113WSep 21 · 07:15P. Wasik1.4411119113O. Kaderabek2.63271141LSep 21 · 06:15P. Wasik1.44914111192V. Burylov2.63111679113WSep 21 · 05:15P. Wasik1.831111113L. Svoboda1.835460
R. Pisa10
WOct 5 · 05:45L. Dobias1.57129111062R. Pisa2.251011412113LOct 4 · 12:55R. Pisa2.109450L. Heinzl1.671111113WOct 4 · 11:45L. Heinzl1.73510111192R. Pisa2.00111277113LOct 4 · 10:45M. Kocvara1.9191114113R. Pisa1.801151261LOct 4 · 09:15O. Kaderabek2.00121113113R. Pisa1.731431181LOct 3 · 12:44V. Burylov1.731111923R. Pisa2.00641101LOct 3 · 11:15R. Pisa2.259101171L. Dobias1.5711127113WOct 3 · 10:15R. Pisa2.00111169113V. Burylov1.7374111192WOct 3 · 09:15R. Pisa1.8011711113L. Rulc1.91511791WOct 2 · 08:53R. Pisa2.10411711113L. Adam1.6711811572
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