TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Martin Huk vs Vojtech Koubek 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116116911115––
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:27 and never touched: 60.3% is still 60.3%
Graded at full timeVojtech Koubek to win
60.3%
60.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMartin Huk above · Vojtech Koubek below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 70 set 4, 11-5 · our read held Vojtech Koubek at 60.3%
70 points played in total.
H2H Martin Huk 2–1 Vojtech Koubek Vojtech Koubek has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:2760.3%Our read66.7%to break even at 1.50
short by 6.4pp66.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.50 they are the same number)
What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Koubek
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Huk 1834 vs Koubek 1788
Huk
Correct
both rated, 46 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Huk 60% vs Koubek 0%
Huk
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Huk 50% vs Koubek 20%
Huk
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Huk +3 · Koubek -6
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% · Slight lean (leans Koubek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Koubek form (0%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHuk 2.50 / Koubek 1.50
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Koubek)-6.4pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13244321
Huk2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 118 of 275
Down 0–1, comes back27% 40 of 151
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 80
Koubek1.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 11 days ago (Sep 24) · back after a break
Lost last 6
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite48% won 32 of 67
Up 2–0, closes it89% 16 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it77% 23 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeHuk2wins
AwayKoubek1wins
Huk leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHuk66.7%2 of 3
AwayKoubekn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Huk3Koubek0n = 3Huk took 3 of 3
S2Huk1Koubek2n = 3Koubek took 2 of 3
S3Huk1Koubek2n = 3Koubek took 2 of 3
S4Huk2Koubek1n = 3Huk took 2 of 3
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home267%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricHukKoubekH − KBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set30+3of 3Avg pointsper match41.736.7+5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHukKoubekBasisWin rate · lifetime771 / 1572 vs 190 / 38249.1%49.7%771 / 1572 vs 190 / 382Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.636.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KoubekHuk 2.50/Koubek 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.3%
Koubek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Huk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LJan 17 · 12:30M. Huk33117691V. Koubek4181111113
WDec 9 · 17:00M. Huk43111011113V. Koubek24512521
WSep 27 · 08:00M. Huk4913139143V. Koubek45111111121
M. Huk10
WOct 5 · 16:00E. Mares1.50912961M. Huk2.50111011113LOct 5 · 15:00J. Ruzicka1.831171310123M. Huk1.839111112102WOct 5 · 13:30M. Huk2.25111111113L. Zeman1.57421331WOct 5 · 12:30M. Huk1.838111114113J. Ruzicka1.83118131252WOct 5 · 11:00M. Huk2.501081311113E. Mares1.50121111992LOct 5 · 10:00L. Zeman1.501111911113M. Huk2.5013411842LSep 30 · 17:30M. Huk2.10112120M. Jezek1.651114143LSep 30 · 16:00M. Jezek1.83119119113M. Huk1.8381161172WSep 30 · 15:00R. Urbaniec2.10101291142M. Huk1.671210116113WSep 30 · 14:30M. Huk3.75114611113P. Gireth1.2551111562
V. Koubek10
WOct 5 · 15:30V. Koubek1.731111123E. Mares2.0075100LSep 24 · 17:00T. Postelt2.206121111113V. Koubek1.6111147452LSep 24 · 16:00T. Postelt2.251411113V. Koubek1.5712650LSep 24 · 15:00J. Kycelt3.25111110113V. Koubek1.33771291LSep 24 · 14:30V. Koubek2.00125761J. Vales1.73101111113LSep 21 · 17:30T. Postelt2.381111113V. Koubek1.536570LSep 21 · 16:30T. Postelt2.201111113V. Koubek1.618770WSep 21 · 15:30V. Koubek2.6371111113J. Zajicek1.44117551WSep 21 · 14:30E. Mares2.101113117132V. Koubek1.67315411153LSep 16 · 21:28E. Mares2.101111113V. Koubek1.675740
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