TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Volodymyr Kuzmych vs Mykola Slozka 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 3Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
5111210113117––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:51 and never touched: 60.9% is still 60.9%
Graded at full timeMykola Slozka to win
60.9%
60.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
WrongSent to Pro: Mykola Slozka @ 1.61 · Won
How it is goingVolodymyr Kuzmych above · Mykola Slozka below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 70 set 4, 11-7 · our read held Mykola Slozka at 60.9%
70 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Kuzmych 4–5 Mykola Slozka Volodymyr Kuzmych has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 12:5160.9%Our read61.9%to break even at 1.615
short by 1.0pp61.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.615 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Slozka
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
4-5 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kuzmych 1458 vs Slozka 1607
Slozka
Wrong
both rated, 149 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kuzmych 60% vs Slozka 40%
Kuzmych
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kuzmych 50% vs Slozka 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kuzmych +1 · Slozka -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent, and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 61% · Slight lean (leans Slozka) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slozka form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKuzmych 2.20 / Slozka 1.615
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Slozka)-1.0pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13234767
Kuzmych2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog50% won 16 of 32
Down 0–1, comes back42% 8 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back20% 2 of 10
Slozka1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 73 of 115
Up 2–0, closes it85% 35 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it81% 55 of 68
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeKuzmych4wins
AwaySlozka5wins
7 of 9 to a deciderSlozka leads 5–4, and 7 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKuzmych66.7%2 of 3
AwaySlozka66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kuzmych3Slozka6n = 9Slozka took 6 of 9
S2Kuzmych4Slozka5n = 9Slozka took 5 of 9
S3Kuzmych7Slozka2n = 9Kuzmych took 7 of 9
S4Kuzmych4Slozka4n = 8split evenly
S5Kuzmych3Slozka4n = 7Slozka took 4 of 7
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home333%
2–3Decider, away444%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricKuzmychSlozkaK − SBasisWins45−1in 9 meetingsFirst set36−3of 9Avg pointsper match45.445.9−0.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuzmychSlozkaBasisWin rate · lifetime37 / 83 vs 350 / 76744.6%45.6%37 / 83 vs 350 / 767Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SlozkaKuzmych 2.20/Slozka 1.61
Hit
What we said
60.9%
Slozka · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Mykola Slozka @ 1.61 · Won
What happened
3–1
Kuzmych won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 12 · 07:55V. Kuzmych53491811113M. Slozka52111116862
LSep 11 · 12:55V. Kuzmych47111213562M. Slozka547141111113
LSep 6 · 08:55V. Kuzmych4997111842M. Slozka571111816113
LSep 4 · 20:45V. Kuzmych35881181M. Slozka3811115113
WAug 29 · 04:25V. Kuzmych517111111113M. Slozka4511813852
LAug 28 · 15:25V. Kuzmych4278111152M. Slozka49111188113
WNov 16 · 18:05V. Kuzmych571116118113M. Slozka50514131172
WNov 2 · 13:35V. Kuzmych351111133M. Slozka2274110
LOct 26 · 18:05V. Kuzmych4041111772M. Slozka46118511113
V. Kuzmych10
WOct 3 · 12:25V. Kuzmych1.831112123A. Kotiash1.83810100LSep 12 · 10:55V. Kuzmych2.209511111T. Gil1.6111119133WSep 12 · 08:55D. Palii1.67111110882V. Kuzmych2.10371211113WSep 12 · 07:55V. Kuzmych2.00491811113M. Slozka1.73111116862LSep 12 · 06:55S. Prus1.8311115113V. Kuzmych1.83781131LSep 12 · 05:25V. Kuzmych1.733320D. Maltsev2.001111113WSep 11 · 18:25V. Kuzmych2.00611114133D. Maltsev1.73117711112WSep 11 · 16:25S. Prus1.80129661V. Kuzmych1.91101111113LSep 11 · 15:25V. Kuzmych2.10148511102I. Fashchevskyi1.671211116123LSep 11 · 14:25D. Palii1.6711119113V. Kuzmych2.10761161
M. Slozka10
LOct 3 · 15:25M. Slozka1.509511111A. Kotiash2.5011119123LOct 3 · 12:55M. Slozka1.67131111862D. Palii2.10158611113WOct 3 · 02:30O. Storozhenko1.67691471M. Slozka2.10111112113LOct 3 · 01:30D. Maltsev1.57131111113M. Slozka2.25158851LOct 3 · 00:00Y. Tebenko1.83111110113M. Slozka1.83751241WOct 2 · 22:00I. Fashchevskyi2.1011671182M. Slozka1.67511118113WSep 30 · 11:35I. Pytsko1.80911761M. Slozka1.9111711113LSep 30 · 10:05M. Slozka2.10148100O. Storozhenko1.671611123LSep 30 · 08:05Y. Tebenko1.8311611113M. Slozka1.83911441LSep 12 · 07:55V. Kuzmych2.00491811113M. Slozka1.73111116862
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