TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksandr Storozhenko vs Mykola Slozka 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 3Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
6119111412711––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:28 and never touched: 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Storozhenko to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Storozhenko above · Mykola Slozka below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 81 set 4, 7-11 · our read held Oleksandr Storozhenko at 55.8%
81 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Storozhenko 17–18 Mykola Slozka Oleksandr Storozhenko has won 17 of their 35 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 02:2855.8%Our read60.0%to break even at 1.666
short by 4.2pp60.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.666 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Storozhenko
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
17-18 in 35
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Storozhenko 1628 vs Slozka 1606
Storozhenko
Wrong
both rated, 22 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Storozhenko 60% vs Slozka 40%
Storozhenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Storozhenko 70% vs Slozka 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Storozhenko +3 · Slozka -2
Storozhenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% · Slight lean (leans Storozhenko) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStorozhenko 1.666 / Slozka 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Storozhenko)-4.2pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13229090
Storozhenko1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 179 of 318
Up 2–0, closes it88% 63 of 72
Up 1–0, closes it70% 115 of 165
Slozka2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 79 of 184
Down 0–1, comes back26% 26 of 101
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStorozhenko6wins
AwaySlozka4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderStorozhenko leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStorozhenko66.7%4 of 6
AwaySlozka50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Storozhenko6Slozka4n = 10Storozhenko took 6 of 10
S2Storozhenko7Slozka3n = 10Storozhenko took 7 of 10
S3Storozhenko5Slozka5n = 10split evenly
S4Storozhenko3Slozka2n = 5Storozhenko took 3 of 5
S5Storozhenko2Slozka2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricStorozhenkoSlozkaStorozhenko − SlozkaBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.633.9+4.7per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStorozhenkoSlozkaBasisWin rate · lifetime293 / 556 vs 349 / 76552.7%45.6%293 / 556 vs 349 / 765Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
StorozhenkoStorozhenko 1.67/Slozka 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Storozhenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Slozka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 30 · 10:05O. Storozhenko391611123M. Slozka32148100
LSep 29 · 17:05O. Storozhenko33811591M. Slozka3711411113
WAug 25 · 15:05O. Storozhenko521081111123M. Slozka47121177102
LJun 26 · 18:55O. Storozhenko4313471182M. Slozka511111117113
WJun 25 · 22:15O. Storozhenko44611511113M. Slozka4011711562
WJun 17 · 11:35O. Storozhenko331111113M. Slozka217590
WJun 16 · 15:05O. Storozhenko331111113M. Slozka132470
LJun 15 · 21:00O. Storozhenko311110100M. Slozka371312123
WJun 12 · 17:25O. Storozhenko331111113M. Slozka184950
LJun 4 · 21:15O. Storozhenko4511119772M. Slozka43281111113
O. Storozhenko10
WOct 3 · 00:30I. Pytsko2.101111118112O. Storozhenko1.67813311133WOct 2 · 23:30O. Storozhenko1.671111113D. Maltsev2.108780WOct 2 · 22:30Y. Tebenko1.91114751O. Storozhenko1.8091111113LOct 2 · 21:00O. Storozhenko1.6781161182I. Fashchevskyi2.10119119113LSep 30 · 11:05Y. Tebenko1.917111110113O. Storozhenko1.8011891252WSep 30 · 10:05M. Slozka2.10148100O. Storozhenko1.671611123WSep 30 · 08:35D. Maltsev1.9110890O. Storozhenko1.801211113WSep 30 · 06:35I. Pytsko2.1011911892O. Storozhenko1.67911811113WSep 30 · 04:35I. Fashchevskyi2.10791161O. Storozhenko1.6711119113LSep 29 · 19:05O. Storozhenko1.8091141162D. Maltsev1.91114114113
M. Slozka10
LOct 3 · 01:30D. Maltsev1.57131111113M. Slozka2.25158851LOct 3 · 00:00Y. Tebenko1.83111110113M. Slozka1.83751241WOct 2 · 22:00I. Fashchevskyi2.1011671182M. Slozka1.67511118113WSep 30 · 11:35I. Pytsko1.80911761M. Slozka1.9111711113LSep 30 · 10:05M. Slozka2.10148100O. Storozhenko1.671611123LSep 30 · 08:05Y. Tebenko1.8311611113M. Slozka1.83911441WSep 30 · 06:05I. Fashchevskyi2.10611531M. Slozka1.6711611113WSep 30 · 05:05D. Maltsev1.50881161M. Slozka2.5011117113WSep 29 · 18:05I. Fashchevskyi2.10711812142M. Slozka1.671171110163WSep 29 · 17:05M. Slozka2.2511411113O. Storozhenko1.57811591
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