TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Yaroslav Tebenko vs Mykola Slozka 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 3Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1171151012114––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:56 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMykola Slozka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingYaroslav Tebenko above · Mykola Slozka below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 71 set 4, 11-4 · our read held Mykola Slozka at 54.0%
71 points played in total.
H2H Yaroslav Tebenko 37–45 Mykola Slozka Yaroslav Tebenko has won 37 of their 82 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:5654.0%Our read54.6%to break even at 1.833
short by 0.6pp54.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.833 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Slozka
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
37-45 in 82
Slozka
Wrong
gap of 8 in 82, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tebenko 1635 vs Slozka 1633
Tebenko
Correct
both rated, 2 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tebenko 60% vs Slozka 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tebenko 70% vs Slozka 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Tebenko -1 · Slozka +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Slozka) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTebenko 1.833 / Slozka 1.833
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Slozka)-0.6pp
Setka Cup · #13229401
Tebenko1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Slozka1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTebenko6wins
AwaySlozka4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderTebenko leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTebenko85.7%6 of 7
AwaySlozka100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tebenko7Slozka3n = 10Tebenko took 7 of 10
S2Tebenko7Slozka3n = 10Tebenko took 7 of 10
S3Tebenko7Slozka3n = 10Tebenko took 7 of 10
S4Tebenko3Slozka4n = 7Slozka took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricTebenkoSlozkaT − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.735.3+4.4per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTebenkoSlozkaBasisWin rate · lifetime423 / 858 vs 349 / 76349.3%45.7%423 / 858 vs 349 / 763Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SlozkaTebenko 1.83/Slozka 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Slozka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Tebenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 30 · 08:05Y. Tebenko3911611113M. Slozka28911441
WSep 29 · 14:35Y. Tebenko4211119113M. Slozka31751181
WSep 2 · 08:05Y. Tebenko331111113M. Slozka217860
LAug 25 · 12:35Y. Tebenko3910101181M. Slozka4112126113
WJun 2 · 08:05Y. Tebenko4211137113M. Slozka388111181
LJun 1 · 15:35Y. Tebenko4711811892M. Slozka49711911113
LMay 31 · 20:30Y. Tebenko46711126102M. Slozka511171011123
LMay 28 · 20:15Y. Tebenko429141361M. Slozka49111215113
WMay 26 · 11:35Y. Tebenko331111113M. Slozka248880
WMay 25 · 13:05Y. Tebenko341111123M. Slozka2165100
Y. Tebenko10
LOct 3 · 01:00Y. Tebenko1.5071131122I. Fashchevskyi2.50111117113LOct 2 · 22:30Y. Tebenko1.91114751O. Storozhenko1.8091111113WOct 2 · 20:30Y. Tebenko1.73611144113D. Maltsev2.00116121162WSep 30 · 11:05Y. Tebenko1.917111110113O. Storozhenko1.8011891252LSep 30 · 09:05I. Fashchevskyi2.7511119113Y. Tebenko1.40681191WSep 30 · 08:05Y. Tebenko1.8311611113M. Slozka1.83911441WSep 30 · 07:05D. Maltsev2.0011139552Y. Tebenko1.736111111113WSep 30 · 05:35Y. Tebenko1.80812811113I. Pytsko1.91111011972LSep 29 · 18:35Y. Tebenko1.913860I. Pytsko1.801111113WSep 29 · 16:35I. Fashchevskyi2.505990Y. Tebenko1.501111113
M. Slozka10
WOct 2 · 22:00I. Fashchevskyi2.1011671182M. Slozka1.67511118113WSep 30 · 11:35I. Pytsko1.80911761M. Slozka1.9111711113LSep 30 · 10:05M. Slozka2.10148100O. Storozhenko1.671611123LSep 30 · 08:05Y. Tebenko1.8311611113M. Slozka1.83911441WSep 30 · 06:05I. Fashchevskyi2.10611531M. Slozka1.6711611113WSep 30 · 05:05D. Maltsev1.50881161M. Slozka2.5011117113WSep 29 · 18:05I. Fashchevskyi2.10711812142M. Slozka1.671171110163WSep 29 · 17:05M. Slozka2.2511411113O. Storozhenko1.57811591WSep 29 · 16:05M. Slozka1.915101112113I. Pytsko1.80111251062LSep 29 · 14:35M. Slozka1.83751181Y. Tebenko1.8311119113
Upcoming Matches
Y. Tebenko
M. Slozka
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.