TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Ivan Fashchevskyi vs Mykola Slozka 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 29Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
71111781112101416
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:57 and never touched: 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeMykola Slozka to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
RightSent to Pro: Mykola Slozka @ 1.67 · Lost
How it is goingIvan Fashchevskyi above · Mykola Slozka below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 13-14
Point 104 set 5, 13-14 · our read held Mykola Slozka at 57.0%
104 points drawn · the score is 3 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Ivan Fashchevskyi 11–19 Mykola Slozka Ivan Fashchevskyi has won 11 of their 30 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickConfirm
Sealed 16:57What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Slozka
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
11-19 in 30
Slozka
Correct
gap of 8 in 30, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fashchevskyi 1493 vs Slozka 1618
Slozka
Correct
both rated, 125 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fashchevskyi 20% vs Slozka 60%
Slozka
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fashchevskyi 30% vs Slozka 60%
Slozka
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Fashchevskyi -3 · Slozka +2
Fashchevskyi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent, and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 57% · Slight lean (leans Slozka) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fashchevskyi form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFashchevskyi 2.10 / Slozka 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Slozka)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13213075
Fashchevskyi2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 96 of 222
Down 0–1, comes back28% 32 of 115
Down 0–2, comes back9% 5 of 54
Slozka1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 70 of 112
Up 2–0, closes it85% 35 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it80% 53 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFashchevskyi5wins
AwaySlozka5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFashchevskyi66.7%2 of 3
AwaySlozka57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fashchevskyi3Slozka7n = 10Slozka took 7 of 10
S2Fashchevskyi5Slozka5n = 10split evenly
S3Fashchevskyi5Slozka5n = 10split evenly
S4Fashchevskyi6Slozka3n = 9Fashchevskyi took 6 of 9
S5Fashchevskyi3Slozka3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricFashchevskyiSlozkaF − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match42.343.6−1.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFashchevskyiSlozkaBasisWin rate · lifetime308 / 623 vs 344 / 75649.4%45.5%308 / 623 vs 344 / 756Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SlozkaFashchevskyi 2.10/Slozka 1.67
Miss
What we said
57%
Slozka · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Mykola Slozka @ 1.67 · Lost
What happened
2–3
Slozka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 26 · 17:25I. Fashchevskyi4361111153M. Slozka391178131
LSep 26 · 01:45I. Fashchevskyi34781361M. Slozka44111111113
LSep 11 · 18:55I. Fashchevskyi4691151292M. Slozka501171110113
LSep 10 · 23:15I. Fashchevskyi42111151142M. Slozka48134119113
LSep 4 · 23:45I. Fashchevskyi2458110M. Slozka351111133
LSep 2 · 06:05I. Fashchevskyi3911113682M. Slozka43641111113
WAug 25 · 14:05I. Fashchevskyi52142177123M. Slozka5912111511102
WAug 9 · 07:25I. Fashchevskyi49791111113M. Slozka4611116992
WJun 27 · 07:55I. Fashchevskyi43111110113M. Slozka32891231
WJun 26 · 15:25I. Fashchevskyi511081111113M. Slozka4012115842
I. Fashchevskyi10
LSep 29 · 16:35I. Fashchevskyi2.505990Y. Tebenko1.501111113LSep 29 · 15:05I. Fashchevskyi2.201114710112O. Storozhenko1.619121112133LSep 29 · 13:35I. Fashchevskyi2.2013831182D. Maltsev1.611111114113WSep 29 · 12:05I. Fashchevskyi2.001111113I. Pytsko1.735450LSep 29 · 02:30I. Fashchevskyi2.00101170I. Pytsko1.731213113WSep 29 · 00:30V. Moshovskyi1.7311581182I. Fashchevskyi2.00311118113LSep 28 · 23:30I. Fashchevskyi2.20115781D. Maltsev1.6171111113WSep 28 · 22:30V. Korobko1.6111111110102I. Fashchevskyi2.20931312123LSep 28 · 21:00I. Fashchevskyi1.83711871M. Potapov1.8311811113LSep 26 · 18:25D. Palii2.0051111993I. Fashchevskyi1.7311681182
M. Slozka10
WSep 29 · 17:05M. Slozka2.2511411113O. Storozhenko1.57811591WSep 29 · 16:05M. Slozka1.915101112113I. Pytsko1.80111251062LSep 29 · 14:35M. Slozka1.83751181Y. Tebenko1.8311119113LSep 29 · 12:35M. Slozka2.50581121D. Maltsev1.5011114113WSep 27 · 10:55S. Prus3.5061371172M. Slozka1.281111117113WSep 27 · 09:55I. Kvak1.83101090M. Slozka1.831212113LSep 27 · 08:25O. Gazhula1.67111148113M. Slozka2.1086111182WSep 27 · 06:25D. Palii2.008350M. Slozka1.731111113WSep 27 · 04:25O. Sydorchuk2.6375110M. Slozka1.441111133LSep 26 · 17:25M. Slozka1.731178131I. Fashchevskyi2.0061111153
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