TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Mykola Slozka vs Ivan Fashchevskyi 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 7
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1167118111315––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:26 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeMykola Slozka to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMykola Slozka above · Ivan Fashchevskyi below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 13-15
Point 82 set 4, 13-15 — our read held Mykola Slozka at 57.7%
82 points played in total.
H2H Mykola Slozka 19–10 Ivan Fashchevskyi Ivan Fashchevskyi has won 10 of their 29 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 11:26What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Slozka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-10 in 29
Slozka
Wrong
gap of 9 in 29, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Slozka 1602 vs Fashchevskyi 1485
Slozka
Wrong
both rated, 117 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Slozka 100% vs Fashchevskyi 60%
Slozka
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Slozka 80% vs Fashchevskyi 60%
Slozka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Slozka +7 · Fashchevskyi +2
Slozka
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Slozka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slozka form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSlozka 1.73 / Fashchevskyi 2.00
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Slozka)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13199755
Slozka1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 7
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 70 of 113
Up 2–0, closes it85% 35 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it80% 53 of 66
Fashchevskyi2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 93 of 216
Down 0–1, comes back26% 29 of 110
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 51
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSlozka6wins
AwayFashchevskyi4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderSlozka leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSlozka66.7%4 of 6
AwayFashchevskyi50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Slozka6Fashchevskyi4n = 10Slozka took 6 of 10
S2Slozka6Fashchevskyi4n = 10Slozka took 6 of 10
S3Slozka6Fashchevskyi4n = 10Slozka took 6 of 10
S4Slozka4Fashchevskyi5n = 9Fashchevskyi took 5 of 9
S5Slozka3Fashchevskyi3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSlozkaFashchevskyiS − FBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match44.041.9+2.1per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSlozkaFashchevskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime341 / 760 vs 304 / 61244.9%49.7%341 / 760 vs 304 / 612Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlozkaSlozka 1.73/Fashchevskyi 2.00
Miss
What we said
57.7%
Slozka · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Fashchevskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 26 · 01:45M. Slozka44111111113I. Fashchevskyi34781361
WSep 11 · 18:55M. Slozka501171110113I. Fashchevskyi4691151292
WSep 10 · 23:15M. Slozka48134119113I. Fashchevskyi42111151142
WSep 4 · 23:45M. Slozka351111133I. Fashchevskyi2458110
WSep 2 · 06:05M. Slozka43641111113I. Fashchevskyi3911113682
LAug 25 · 14:05M. Slozka5912111511102I. Fashchevskyi52142177123
LAug 9 · 07:25M. Slozka4611116992I. Fashchevskyi49791111113
LJun 27 · 07:55M. Slozka32891231I. Fashchevskyi43111110113
LJun 26 · 15:25M. Slozka4012115842I. Fashchevskyi511081111113
WJun 26 · 02:45M. Slozka4371111143I. Fashchevskyi391179121
M. Slozka10
WSep 26 · 15:55I. Kvak1.7311771152M. Slozka2.00311115113LSep 26 · 14:25D. Palii2.2011111182M. Slozka1.61713781WSep 26 · 12:55S. Prus2.385550M. Slozka1.531111103LSep 26 · 11:55O. Gazhula1.80711112M. Slozka1.9111891WSep 26 · 02:45O. Gazhula1.67118671M. Slozka2.1021111113WSep 26 · 01:45I. Fashchevskyi2.00781361M. Slozka1.73111111113WSep 26 · 00:15V. Korobko2.25118581M. Slozka1.5781111113WSep 25 · 22:15D. Palii2.101390M. Slozka1.671111113WSep 25 · 20:15S. Prus2.251011101122M. Slozka1.57126126113WSep 20 · 10:55O. Sydorchuk2.508840M. Slozka1.501111113
I. Fashchevskyi10
LSep 26 · 18:25D. Palii2.0051111993I. Fashchevskyi1.7311681182LSep 26 · 15:55O. Gazhula1.571111102I. Fashchevskyi2.2567111WSep 26 · 11:55S. Prus2.25351171I. Fashchevskyi1.5711118113WSep 26 · 03:15D. Palii2.0011311862I. Fashchevskyi1.73711611113LSep 26 · 01:45I. Fashchevskyi2.00781361M. Slozka1.73111111113LSep 25 · 23:45O. Gazhula1.731111113I. Fashchevskyi2.006980WSep 25 · 21:45S. Prus2.1066100I. Fashchevskyi1.671111123LSep 25 · 20:45V. Korobko1.8091111113I. Fashchevskyi1.91113671WSep 24 · 17:55I. Fashchevskyi2.0011148113M. Potapov1.737121181WSep 24 · 16:25I. Fashchevskyi2.501211108113Y. Tebenko1.50108121182
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