TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksii Gazhula vs Ivan Fashchevskyi 2-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 1
Set by set
1161171011––––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:26 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeOleksii Gazhula to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksii Gazhula above · Ivan Fashchevskyi below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 10-11
Point 56 set 3, 10-11 — our read held Oleksii Gazhula at 60.1%
56 points played in total.
H2H Oleksii Gazhula 15–8 Ivan Fashchevskyi Ivan Fashchevskyi has won 8 of their 23 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:26What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Gazhula
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-8 in 23
Gazhula
Correct
gap of 7 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gazhula 1541 vs Fashchevskyi 1513
Gazhula
Correct
both rated, 28 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gazhula 60% vs Fashchevskyi 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gazhula 60% vs Fashchevskyi 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Gazhula -2 · Fashchevskyi +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Gazhula)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fashchevskyi form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGazhula 1.57 / Fashchevskyi 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Gazhula)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13199759
Gazhula1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite60% won 53 of 88
Up 2–0, closes it89% 25 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it75% 38 of 51
Fashchevskyi2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 93 of 216
Down 0–1, comes back26% 29 of 110
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 51
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGazhula5wins
AwayFashchevskyi5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGazhula66.7%4 of 6
AwayFashchevskyi75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gazhula6Fashchevskyi4n = 10Gazhula took 6 of 10
S2Gazhula5Fashchevskyi5n = 10split evenly
S3Gazhula7Fashchevskyi3n = 10Gazhula took 7 of 10
S4Gazhula4Fashchevskyi5n = 9Fashchevskyi took 5 of 9
S5Gazhula2Fashchevskyi4n = 6Fashchevskyi took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricGazhulaFashchevskyiG − FBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.140.8+1.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGazhulaFashchevskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime210 / 440 vs 304 / 61247.7%49.7%210 / 440 vs 304 / 612Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.238.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GazhulaGazhula 1.57/Fashchevskyi 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.1%
Gazhula · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–1
Gazhula won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 25 · 23:45O. Gazhula331111113I. Fashchevskyi236980
LAug 9 · 10:25O. Gazhula4291131182I. Fashchevskyi45116116113
WJul 25 · 10:25O. Gazhula4111118113I. Fashchevskyi32771171
LJul 24 · 17:25O. Gazhula50119119102I. Fashchevskyi43411511123
LJul 17 · 02:15O. Gazhula4366111192I. Fashchevskyi49111197113
WJul 15 · 15:55O. Gazhula511110118113I. Fashchevskyi4471281162
WJun 26 · 16:25O. Gazhula4011513113I. Fashchevskyi365111191
LJun 26 · 00:45O. Gazhula341011671I. Fashchevskyi3812411113
LJun 18 · 07:25O. Gazhula3911511662I. Fashchevskyi48911611113
WJun 6 · 17:55O. Gazhula48711136113I. Fashchevskyi50119111182
O. Gazhula10
WSep 26 · 14:55O. Gazhula1.531111123I. Kvak2.3839100LSep 26 · 13:25O. Gazhula1.3361090D. Palii3.251112113WSep 26 · 11:55O. Gazhula1.80711112M. Slozka1.9111891LSep 26 · 02:45O. Gazhula1.67118671M. Slozka2.1021111113WSep 26 · 00:45S. Prus2.108930O. Gazhula1.671111113WSep 25 · 23:45O. Gazhula1.731111113I. Fashchevskyi2.006980WSep 25 · 22:45V. Korobko1.8336100O. Gazhula1.831111123WSep 25 · 21:15O. Gazhula1.571111113D. Palii2.255890WAug 15 · 17:55O. Gazhula2.001111113T. Gil1.732660WAug 15 · 16:25O. Gazhula1.83141193O. Lutsyshyn1.8312880
I. Fashchevskyi10
WSep 26 · 11:55S. Prus2.25351171I. Fashchevskyi1.5711118113WSep 26 · 03:15D. Palii2.0011311862I. Fashchevskyi1.73711611113LSep 26 · 01:45I. Fashchevskyi2.00781361M. Slozka1.73111111113LSep 25 · 23:45O. Gazhula1.731111113I. Fashchevskyi2.006980WSep 25 · 21:45S. Prus2.1066100I. Fashchevskyi1.671111123LSep 25 · 20:45V. Korobko1.8091111113I. Fashchevskyi1.91113671WSep 24 · 17:55I. Fashchevskyi2.0011148113M. Potapov1.737121181WSep 24 · 16:25I. Fashchevskyi2.501211108113Y. Tebenko1.50108121182WSep 24 · 14:55I. Fashchevskyi2.25611811113D. Maltsev1.5711811462LSep 24 · 13:25I. Fashchevskyi2.25811421O. Storozhenko1.5711611113
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