TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Ivan Pytsko vs Oleksandr Storozhenko 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 3Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11811131138111113
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 00:11 and never touched: 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Storozhenko to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingIvan Pytsko above · Oleksandr Storozhenko below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-13
Point 100 set 5, 11-13 · our read held Oleksandr Storozhenko at 56.2%
100 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Pytsko 10–16 Oleksandr Storozhenko Ivan Pytsko has won 10 of their 26 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 00:1156.2%Our read60.0%to break even at 1.666
short by 3.8pp60.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.666 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Storozhenko
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
10-16 in 26
Storozhenko
Correct
gap of 6 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pytsko 1598 vs Storozhenko 1628
Storozhenko
Correct
both rated, 30 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pytsko 80% vs Storozhenko 60%
Pytsko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pytsko 60% vs Storozhenko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pytsko +2 · Storozhenko +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% · Slight lean (leans Storozhenko) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pytsko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPytsko 2.10 / Storozhenko 1.666
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Storozhenko)-3.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13229088
Pytsko2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog43% won 28 of 65
Down 0–1, comes back25% 10 of 40
Down 0–2, comes back13% 3 of 24
Storozhenko1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 179 of 318
Up 2–0, closes it88% 63 of 72
Up 1–0, closes it70% 115 of 165
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePytsko4wins
AwayStorozhenko6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderStorozhenko leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePytsko50%3 of 6
AwayStorozhenko75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pytsko6Storozhenko4n = 10Pytsko took 6 of 10
S2Pytsko5Storozhenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Pytsko3Storozhenko7n = 10Storozhenko took 7 of 10
S4Pytsko4Storozhenko5n = 9Storozhenko took 5 of 9
S5Pytsko2Storozhenko3n = 5Storozhenko took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPytskoStorozhenkoP − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.942.90.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPytskoStorozhenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime344 / 615 vs 293 / 55655.9%52.7%344 / 615 vs 293 / 556Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.739.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
StorozhenkoPytsko 2.10/Storozhenko 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.2%
Storozhenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Storozhenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 3 · 00:30I. Pytsko521111118112O. Storozhenko48813311133
LSep 30 · 06:35I. Pytsko4811911892O. Storozhenko50911811113
WSep 29 · 14:05I. Pytsko521151312113O. Storozhenko52811151082
WSep 26 · 06:55I. Pytsko47131112113O. Storozhenko391161481
LSep 25 · 17:25I. Pytsko391198111O. Storozhenko3721111133
LSep 24 · 17:25I. Pytsko203890O. Storozhenko331111113
LSep 23 · 01:45I. Pytsko4661281192O. Storozhenko511110118113
WSep 21 · 12:55I. Pytsko45111157113O. Storozhenko4586111192
WSep 19 · 01:30I. Pytsko45121111113O. Storozhenko33146671
LSep 16 · 06:35I. Pytsko358115111O. Storozhenko4111611133
I. Pytsko10
WOct 2 · 23:00I. Pytsko1.531111113I. Fashchevskyi2.385470WOct 2 · 21:30I. Pytsko1.401113113D. Maltsev2.7591190LSep 30 · 11:35I. Pytsko1.80911761M. Slozka1.9111711113WSep 30 · 09:35D. Maltsev2.751210971I. Pytsko1.40101211113WSep 30 · 07:35I. Fashchevskyi2.008880I. Pytsko1.731111113LSep 30 · 06:35I. Pytsko2.1011911892O. Storozhenko1.67911811113LSep 30 · 05:35Y. Tebenko1.80812811113I. Pytsko1.91111011972WSep 29 · 18:35Y. Tebenko1.913860I. Pytsko1.801111113WSep 29 · 17:35D. Maltsev2.75811381I. Pytsko1.4011411113LSep 29 · 16:05M. Slozka1.915101112113I. Pytsko1.80111251062
O. Storozhenko10
WOct 2 · 23:30O. Storozhenko1.671111113D. Maltsev2.108780WOct 2 · 22:30Y. Tebenko1.91114751O. Storozhenko1.8091111113LOct 2 · 21:00O. Storozhenko1.6781161182I. Fashchevskyi2.10119119113LSep 30 · 11:05Y. Tebenko1.917111110113O. Storozhenko1.8011891252WSep 30 · 10:05M. Slozka2.10148100O. Storozhenko1.671611123WSep 30 · 08:35D. Maltsev1.9110890O. Storozhenko1.801211113WSep 30 · 06:35I. Pytsko2.1011911892O. Storozhenko1.67911811113WSep 30 · 04:35I. Fashchevskyi2.10791161O. Storozhenko1.6711119113LSep 29 · 19:05O. Storozhenko1.8091141162D. Maltsev1.91114114113LSep 29 · 17:05M. Slozka2.2511411113O. Storozhenko1.57811591
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