TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Ivan Pytsko vs Ivan Fashchevskyi 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 2Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115114117––––
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:46 and never touched: 64.0% is still 64.0%
Graded at full timeIvan Pytsko to win
64.0%
64.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingIvan Pytsko above · Ivan Fashchevskyi below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 49 set 3, 11-7 · our read held Ivan Pytsko at 64.0%
49 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Pytsko 19–13 Ivan Fashchevskyi Ivan Fashchevskyi has won 13 of their 32 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:4664.0%Our read65.2%to break even at 1.533
short by 1.2pp65.2% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.533 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Pytsko
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
19-13 in 32
Pytsko
Correct
gap of 6 in 32, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pytsko 1599 vs Fashchevskyi 1475
Pytsko
Correct
both rated, 124 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pytsko 60% vs Fashchevskyi 40%
Pytsko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pytsko 60% vs Fashchevskyi 20%
Pytsko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pytsko +1 · Fashchevskyi -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% · Clear lean (leans Pytsko) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPytsko 1.533 / Fashchevskyi 2.375
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Pytsko)-1.2pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13228901
Pytsko1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite53% won 81 of 154
Up 2–0, closes it95% 38 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it76% 62 of 82
Fashchevskyi2.38
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 97 of 230
Down 0–1, comes back27% 32 of 120
Down 0–2, comes back9% 5 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePytsko6wins
AwayFashchevskyi4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderPytsko leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePytsko100%4 of 4
AwayFashchevskyi66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pytsko4Fashchevskyi6n = 10Fashchevskyi took 6 of 10
S2Pytsko7Fashchevskyi3n = 10Pytsko took 7 of 10
S3Pytsko6Fashchevskyi4n = 10Pytsko took 6 of 10
S4Pytsko1Fashchevskyi4n = 5Fashchevskyi took 4 of 5
S5Pytsko3Fashchevskyi1n = 4Pytsko took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPytskoFashchevskyiP − FBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.439.2−0.8per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPytskoFashchevskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime343 / 613 vs 310 / 63156%49.1%343 / 613 vs 310 / 631Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
PytskoPytsko 1.53/Fashchevskyi 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64%
Pytsko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Pytsko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 30 · 07:35I. Pytsko331111113I. Fashchevskyi248880
LSep 29 · 12:05I. Pytsko145450I. Fashchevskyi331111113
WSep 29 · 02:30I. Pytsko361213113I. Fashchevskyi28101170
WSep 24 · 11:55I. Pytsko47119113133I. Fashchevskyi50911811112
WSep 22 · 23:45I. Pytsko331111113I. Fashchevskyi227690
LSep 21 · 16:25I. Pytsko48712811102I. Fashchevskyi481110114123
WSep 20 · 22:15I. Pytsko56811206113I. Fashchevskyi54118181162
LSep 18 · 20:00I. Pytsko388111091I. Fashchevskyi4311912113
WSep 16 · 07:35I. Pytsko504141110113I. Fashchevskyi52111281292
LSep 15 · 14:05I. Pytsko2978140I. Fashchevskyi381111163
I. Pytsko10
WOct 2 · 21:30I. Pytsko1.401113113D. Maltsev2.7591190LSep 30 · 11:35I. Pytsko1.80911761M. Slozka1.9111711113WSep 30 · 09:35D. Maltsev2.751210971I. Pytsko1.40101211113WSep 30 · 07:35I. Fashchevskyi2.008880I. Pytsko1.731111113LSep 30 · 06:35I. Pytsko2.1011911892O. Storozhenko1.67911811113LSep 30 · 05:35Y. Tebenko1.80812811113I. Pytsko1.91111011972WSep 29 · 18:35Y. Tebenko1.913860I. Pytsko1.801111113WSep 29 · 17:35D. Maltsev2.75811381I. Pytsko1.4011411113LSep 29 · 16:05M. Slozka1.915101112113I. Pytsko1.80111251062WSep 29 · 14:05O. Storozhenko1.67811151082I. Pytsko2.101151312113
I. Fashchevskyi10
LOct 2 · 22:00I. Fashchevskyi2.1011671182M. Slozka1.67511118113WOct 2 · 21:00O. Storozhenko1.6781161182I. Fashchevskyi2.10119119113LSep 30 · 10:35I. Fashchevskyi2.104690D. Maltsev1.671111113WSep 30 · 09:05I. Fashchevskyi2.7511119113Y. Tebenko1.40681191LSep 30 · 07:35I. Fashchevskyi2.008880I. Pytsko1.731111113LSep 30 · 06:05I. Fashchevskyi2.10611531M. Slozka1.6711611113LSep 30 · 04:35I. Fashchevskyi2.10791161O. Storozhenko1.6711119113LSep 29 · 18:05I. Fashchevskyi2.10711812142M. Slozka1.671171110163LSep 29 · 16:35I. Fashchevskyi2.505990Y. Tebenko1.501111113LSep 29 · 15:05I. Fashchevskyi2.201114710112O. Storozhenko1.619121112133
Upcoming Matches
I. Pytsko
I. Fashchevskyi
Oct 3 · 01:00I. Fashchevskyi2.50Y. Tebenko1.50—Oct 3 · 03:00I. Fashchevskyi2.25D. Maltsev1.57—Oct 3 · 11:55I. Fashchevskyi2.50O. Gazhula1.50—Oct 3 · 13:55I. Fashchevskyi1.80D. Palii1.91—Oct 3 · 15:55I. Fashchevskyi1.57V. Kuzmych2.25—Oct 3 · 17:25I. Fashchevskyi1.80A. Kotiash1.91—Oct 3 · 18:25I. Fashchevskyi2.10M. Slozka1.67—
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