Mykola Slozka vs Andrii Kotiash 1-3

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Oct 3Finished

Mykola Slozka

Home

1.50

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 2

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

9115111191112––

Andrii Kotiash

Away

2.50

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:11 and never touched: 65.3% is still 65.3%

Graded at full time

Mykola Slozka to win

65.3%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingMykola Slozka above · Andrii Kotiash below

Set 1 · 9-11

Set 2 · 5-11

Set 3 · 11-9

Set 4 · 11-12

Point 79 set 4, 11-12 · our read held Mykola Slozka at 65.3%

79 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 15:11

65.3%Our read66.7%to break even at 1.50

short by 1.4pp

66.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.50 they are the same number)

What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.50 (63%)

Slozka

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Slozka 1590 vs Kotiash 1427

Slozka

Wrong

both rated, 164 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Slozka 20% vs Kotiash 40%

Kotiash

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Slozka 40% vs Kotiash 40%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Slozka -2 · Kotiash +1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 65% · Clear lean (leans Slozka) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Slozka form (20%) is below what odds imply (67%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsSlozka 1.50 / Kotiash 2.50

Signal prob.65% / 35%

Edge (Slozka)-1.4pp (anti-value)

Setka Cup · #13234306

Slozka1.50

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite64% won 73 of 115

Up 2–0, closes it85% 35 of 41

Up 1–0, closes it81% 55 of 68

Kotiash2.50

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As underdog36% won 47 of 129

Down 0–1, comes back26% 21 of 82

Down 0–2, comes back15% 8 of 52

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricSlozkaKotiashBasisWin rate · lifetime350 / 768 vs 217 / 46445.6%46.8%350 / 768 vs 217 / 464Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.0per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Slozka

Slozka 1.50/Kotiash 2.50

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

65.3%

Slozka · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Kotiash won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

M. Slozka10