TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Mikhail Taranko vs Tomas Kanka 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 3Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
11110121012––––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:27 and never touched: 66.1% is still 66.1%
Graded at full timeTomas Kanka to win
66.1%
66.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingMikhail Taranko above · Tomas Kanka below
Set 1 · 1-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 56 set 3, 10-12 · our read held Tomas Kanka at 66.1%
56 points played in total.
H2H Mikhail Taranko 7–13 Tomas Kanka Mikhail Taranko has won 7 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:2766.1%Our read69.3%to break even at 1.444
short by 3.2pp69.3% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.444 they are the same number)
What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Kanka
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
7-13 in 20
Kanka
Correct
gap of 6 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Taranko 1450 vs Kanka 1553
Kanka
Correct
both rated, 103 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Taranko 40% vs Kanka 60%
Kanka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Taranko 30% vs Kanka 60%
Kanka
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Taranko -2 · Kanka +3
Kanka
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% · Clear lean (leans Kanka) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTaranko 2.625 / Kanka 1.444
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Kanka)-3.2pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13234368
Taranko2.63
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog44% won 21 of 48
Down 0–1, comes back31% 10 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 16
Kanka1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 37 of 63
Up 2–0, closes it87% 13 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it75% 24 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTaranko2wins
AwayKanka8wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKanka leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTarankon = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKanka75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Taranko2Kanka8n = 10Kanka took 8 of 10
S2Taranko4Kanka6n = 10Kanka took 6 of 10
S3Taranko1Kanka9n = 10Kanka took 9 of 10
S4Taranko2Kanka4n = 6Kanka took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricTarankoKankaT − KBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match27.738.4−10.7per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTarankoKankaBasisWin rate · lifetime75 / 163 vs 189 / 39246%48.2%75 / 163 vs 189 / 392Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KankaTaranko 2.63/Kanka 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.1%
Kanka · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kanka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 3 · 07:30M. Taranko21110100T. Kanka351112123
LSep 26 · 07:15M. Taranko23611421T. Kanka3911611113
WSep 12 · 05:15M. Taranko4251115113T. Kanka371141391
LJun 27 · 08:14M. Taranko183690T. Kanka331111113
LJun 27 · 06:45M. Taranko27115561T. Kanka4181111113
WJun 20 · 08:14M. Taranko538121012113T. Kanka521110121092
LJun 20 · 07:15M. Taranko219750T. Kanka331111113
LApr 11 · 06:15M. Taranko31511871T. Kanka3911611113
LMar 22 · 06:15M. Taranko28114671T. Kanka4291111113
LJan 31 · 09:19M. Taranko135620T. Kanka331111113
M. Taranko10
LOct 3 · 06:30M. Taranko1.8384100Z. Kuksa1.831111123LOct 3 · 05:30M. Taranko1.675790J. Botka2.101111113WSep 26 · 08:14R. Merkl1.8066111142M. Taranko1.91111178113LSep 26 · 07:15T. Kanka1.5011611113M. Taranko2.50611421WSep 26 · 06:45M. Taranko1.8011115113R. Merkl1.91481161LSep 26 · 05:45M. Taranko1.67571181Z. Kuksa2.1011119113WSep 19 · 08:43M. Taranko2.001111113Z. Kuksa1.739850LSep 19 · 07:45Z. Kuksa2.001113113M. Taranko1.7391190LSep 19 · 06:45M. Soukup1.801111113M. Taranko1.916880LSep 19 · 05:15J. Botka2.20111112113M. Taranko1.61651441
T. Kanka10
WOct 3 · 07:00T. Kanka1.671111113J. Botka2.103350WOct 3 · 06:00T. Kanka2.381211113Z. Kuksa1.5310460WSep 28 · 08:48R. Merkl1.91861121T. Kanka1.8011114113LSep 28 · 07:45T. Kanka1.83411281R. Merkl1.83111110113LSep 28 · 06:15P. Orlowski1.441111113T. Kanka2.635790LSep 28 · 05:45Z. Kuksa1.6111811113T. Kanka2.20611761WSep 26 · 08:44Z. Kuksa1.50611111152T. Kanka2.50115135113WSep 26 · 07:15T. Kanka1.5011611113M. Taranko2.50611421LSep 26 · 06:15T. Kanka2.38711513102Z. Kuksa1.531171111123WSep 26 · 05:15T. Kanka1.83561111113R. Merkl1.8311116782
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