TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Tomas Kanka vs Zdenek Kuksa 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 3Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210114116––––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:54 and never touched: 62.8% is still 62.8%
Graded at full timeZdenek Kuksa to win
62.8%
62.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTomas Kanka above · Zdenek Kuksa below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 54 set 3, 11-6 · our read held Zdenek Kuksa at 62.8%
54 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Kanka 4–6 Zdenek Kuksa Tomas Kanka has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:5462.8%Our read65.2%to break even at 1.533
short by 2.4pp65.2% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.533 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Kuksa
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
4-6 in 10
Kuksa
Wrong
gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kanka 1542 vs Kuksa 1571
Kuksa
Wrong
both rated, 29 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kanka 40% vs Kuksa 80%
Kuksa
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kanka 50% vs Kuksa 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kanka +1 · Kuksa +3
Kuksa
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% · Clear lean (leans Kuksa) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kuksa form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKanka 2.375 / Kuksa 1.533
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Kuksa)-2.4pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13234687
Kanka2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 5 days ago (Sep 28)
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 36 of 101
Down 0–1, comes back21% 13 of 61
Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 37
Kuksa1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 83 of 133
Up 2–0, closes it89% 40 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it76% 66 of 87
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKanka4wins
AwayKuksa6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKuksa leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKanka80%4 of 5
AwayKuksa100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kanka5Kuksa5n = 10split evenly
S2Kanka6Kuksa4n = 10Kanka took 6 of 10
S3Kanka2Kuksa8n = 10Kuksa took 8 of 10
S4Kanka3Kuksa4n = 7Kuksa took 4 of 7
S5Kanka2Kuksa2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKankaKuksaKanka − KuksaBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.940.9−5.0per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKankaKuksaBasisWin rate · lifetime188 / 391 vs 266 / 51748.1%51.5%188 / 391 vs 266 / 517Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.240.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KuksaKanka 2.38/Kuksa 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.8%
Kuksa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kanka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 3 · 06:00T. Kanka341211113Z. Kuksa2010460
LSep 28 · 05:45T. Kanka30611761Z. Kuksa4111811113
WSep 26 · 08:44T. Kanka45115135113Z. Kuksa44611111152
LSep 26 · 06:15T. Kanka46711513102Z. Kuksa521171111123
LSep 12 · 08:24T. Kanka3118760Z. Kuksa422011113
LSep 12 · 06:45T. Kanka29711471Z. Kuksa4211911113
WJun 29 · 08:00T. Kanka471111311113Z. Kuksa4888111382
LJun 27 · 07:45T. Kanka197930Z. Kuksa331111113
WSep 6 · 09:15T. Kanka3911134113Z. Kuksa356111171
LSep 6 · 07:45T. Kanka39111041132Z. Kuksa52912119113
T. Kanka10
WOct 3 · 07:00T. Kanka1.671111113J. Botka2.103350WSep 28 · 08:48R. Merkl1.91861121T. Kanka1.8011114113LSep 28 · 07:45T. Kanka1.83411281R. Merkl1.83111110113LSep 28 · 06:15P. Orlowski1.441111113T. Kanka2.635790LSep 28 · 05:45Z. Kuksa1.6111811113T. Kanka2.20611761WSep 26 · 08:44Z. Kuksa1.50611111152T. Kanka2.50115135113WSep 26 · 07:15T. Kanka1.5011611113M. Taranko2.50611421LSep 26 · 06:15T. Kanka2.38711513102Z. Kuksa1.531171111123WSep 26 · 05:15T. Kanka1.83561111113R. Merkl1.8311116782WSep 25 · 16:13P. Provaznik1.44691151T. Kanka2.6311119113
Z. Kuksa10
WOct 3 · 06:30M. Taranko1.8384100Z. Kuksa1.831111123WOct 2 · 20:29L. Hendrych2.386870Z. Kuksa1.531111113WOct 2 · 19:30Z. Kuksa1.67111015113M. Cizek2.109121391WOct 2 · 18:30Z. Kuksa1.61211148113L. Hendrych2.20117121172LOct 2 · 17:30Z. Kuksa1.575980F. Kubos2.251111113WOct 1 · 16:29Z. Kuksa1.574111211113F. Kubos2.2511914642LOct 1 · 16:00V. Herrmann2.2011811113Z. Kuksa1.61911281WSep 28 · 05:45Z. Kuksa1.6111811113T. Kanka2.20611761LSep 26 · 08:44Z. Kuksa1.50611111152T. Kanka2.50115135113WSep 26 · 06:15T. Kanka2.38711513102Z. Kuksa1.531171111123
Upcoming Matches
T. Kanka
Nothing scheduled
Z. Kuksa
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