TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Jakub Hitzger vs Oldrich Stehlik 3-1 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 2Finished
Jakub Hitzger
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1181012118115––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingJakub Hitzger above · Oldrich Stehlik below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 76 set 4, 11-5
76 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Hitzger 13–10 Oldrich Stehlik Oldrich Stehlik has won 10 of their 23 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Hitzger beat Stehlik 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stehlik form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHitzger 1.615 / Stehlik 2.20
TT Cup · #13234203
Hitzger1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite65% won 17 of 26
Up 2–0, closes it100% 8 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it77% 13 of 17
Stehlik2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 16 of 38
Down 0–1, comes back24% 5 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHitzger6wins
AwayStehlik4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderHitzger leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHitzger57.1%4 of 7
AwayStehlik33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hitzger7Stehlik3n = 10Hitzger took 7 of 10
S2Hitzger4Stehlik6n = 10Stehlik took 6 of 10
S3Hitzger5Stehlik5n = 10split evenly
S4Hitzger6Stehlik3n = 9Hitzger took 6 of 9
S5Hitzger2Stehlik2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHitzgerStehlikH − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.138.2+1.9per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHitzgerStehlikBasisWin rate · lifetime75 / 116 vs 143 / 26264.7%54.6%75 / 116 vs 143 / 262Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.138.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
HitzgerHitzger 1.61/Stehlik 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
3–1
Hitzger won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 2 · 16:05J. Hitzger44511611113O. Stehlik4011611482
LSep 26 · 13:55J. Hitzger4911991192O. Stehlik46811115113
LSep 26 · 12:05J. Hitzger29112971O. Stehlik3521111113
WJun 12 · 11:05J. Hitzger43111110113O. Stehlik37971291
WJun 1 · 13:10J. Hitzger3711411113O. Stehlik34711881
LJun 1 · 11:05J. Hitzger3911641172O. Stehlik49711119113
WMay 25 · 13:45J. Hitzger351113113O. Stehlik2681170
WMay 25 · 11:05J. Hitzger47611118113O. Stehlik4511681192
LApr 4 · 13:20J. Hitzger371081181O. Stehlik4012116113
WApr 4 · 11:05J. Hitzger4111811113O. Stehlik30211891
J. Hitzger10
WOct 2 · 16:05O. Stehlik2.0011611482J. Hitzger1.73511611113WOct 2 · 15:35J. Muska2.005670J. Hitzger1.731111113WOct 2 · 14:35J. Hitzger1.571211113J. Ruzicka2.2510550LOct 2 · 13:34D. Lengal1.831111113J. Hitzger1.838780LOct 2 · 12:05J. Hitzger1.80611571D. Lengal1.9111611113WOct 2 · 11:05J. Hitzger1.73111211113T. Bartik2.00614831WOct 2 · 10:05J. Hitzger1.401211113M. Holub2.7510650LSep 28 · 09:50J. Hitzger1.506119101M. Mastera2.5011411123LSep 28 · 08:05J. Hitzger1.577101191O. Polak2.2511127113WSep 28 · 07:05J. Hitzger1.7381111113M. Mastera2.00115891
O. Stehlik10
LOct 2 · 16:05O. Stehlik2.0011611482J. Hitzger1.73511611113WOct 2 · 15:05O. Stehlik1.67114711123J. Ruzicka2.10711119102WOct 2 · 14:05O. Stehlik1.80121175113J. Muska1.91105111142WSep 26 · 13:55J. Hitzger1.9111991192O. Stehlik1.80811115113WSep 26 · 12:05J. Hitzger1.73112971O. Stehlik2.0021111113WSep 26 · 11:35M. Holub2.10115671O. Stehlik1.6761111113LSep 26 · 10:35O. Stehlik2.2011711712O. Polak1.61811911113WSep 20 · 13:05O. Stehlik1.671111113A. Veliiev2.103960LSep 20 · 12:05O. Stehlik1.918960O. Polak1.801111113LSep 20 · 11:05O. Stehlik2.0013112672A. Veliiev1.731161111113
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