TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Jakub Hitzger vs Oldrich Stehlik 1-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 26Finished
Jakub Hitzger
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
112211911711––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:25 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeJakub Hitzger to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJakub Hitzger above · Oldrich Stehlik below
Set 1 · 11-2
Set 2 · 2-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 64 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Jakub Hitzger at 54.5%
64 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Hitzger 12–8 Oldrich Stehlik Oldrich Stehlik has won 8 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:25What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Hitzger
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-8 in 20
Hitzger
Wrong
gap of 4 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hitzger 1815 vs Stehlik 1685
Hitzger
Wrong
both rated, 130 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hitzger 60% vs Stehlik 40%
Hitzger
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hitzger 80% vs Stehlik 40%
Hitzger
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hitzger +3 · Stehlik +1
Hitzger
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Hitzger)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHitzger 1.73 / Stehlik 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Hitzger)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13198105
Hitzger1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite67% won 14 of 21
Up 2–0, closes it100% 7 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it75% 12 of 16
Stehlik2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 16 of 40
Down 0–1, comes back21% 5 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHitzger6wins
AwayStehlik4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderHitzger leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHitzger62.5%5 of 8
AwayStehlikn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hitzger8Stehlik2n = 10Hitzger took 8 of 10
S2Hitzger3Stehlik7n = 10Stehlik took 7 of 10
S3Hitzger6Stehlik4n = 10Hitzger took 6 of 10
S4Hitzger5Stehlik4n = 9Hitzger took 5 of 9
S5Hitzger2Stehlik2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHitzgerStehlikH − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match40.439.1+1.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHitzgerStehlikBasisWin rate · lifetime68 / 103 vs 139 / 25766%54.1%68 / 103 vs 139 / 257Avg sets wonper match2.42.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.438.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HitzgerHitzger 1.73/Stehlik 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.5%
Hitzger · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Stehlik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 12 · 11:05J. Hitzger43111110113O. Stehlik37971291
WJun 1 · 13:10J. Hitzger3711411113O. Stehlik34711881
LJun 1 · 11:05J. Hitzger3911641172O. Stehlik49711119113
WMay 25 · 13:45J. Hitzger351113113O. Stehlik2681170
WMay 25 · 11:05J. Hitzger47611118113O. Stehlik4511681192
LApr 4 · 13:20J. Hitzger371081181O. Stehlik4012116113
WApr 4 · 11:05J. Hitzger4111811113O. Stehlik30211891
WMar 27 · 12:05J. Hitzger491161011113O. Stehlik3741112372
LMar 21 · 20:05J. Hitzger33118771O. Stehlik4291111113
LMar 20 · 14:45J. Hitzger4311511792O. Stehlik51911911113
J. Hitzger10
WSep 26 · 11:05J. Hitzger1.801111113O. Polak1.919890WSep 26 · 10:05J. Hitzger1.5311812113M. Holub2.387111071WJul 5 · 13:15J. Hitzger1.521111173J. Babinek2.3764150LJul 5 · 12:05J. Hitzger1.85811119102T. Bartik1.85116711123LJul 5 · 11:05J. Hitzger1.6211101161J. Muska2.1513126113WJul 5 · 10:05J. Hitzger1.4511131110143J. Babinek2.45815812122WJun 24 · 17:35J. Hitzger1.401111143T. Beran2.6075120WJun 24 · 16:05J. Hitzger1.44111111113T. Beran2.46139371WJun 24 · 15:05J. Hitzger1.4811911113M. Mastera2.36411761WJun 24 · 14:05J. Hitzger1.29111510113J. Joksch3.056131241
O. Stehlik10
WSep 26 · 11:35M. Holub2.10115671O. Stehlik1.6761111113LSep 26 · 10:35O. Stehlik2.2011711712O. Polak1.61811911113WSep 20 · 13:05O. Stehlik1.671111113A. Veliiev2.103960LSep 20 · 12:05O. Stehlik1.918960O. Polak1.801111113LSep 20 · 11:05O. Stehlik2.0013112672A. Veliiev1.731161111113WSep 20 · 10:05O. Stehlik1.73111111113J. Ruzicka2.00513951WSep 19 · 17:15M. Mastera2.007770O. Stehlik1.731111113LSep 19 · 16:05O. Stehlik1.739850M. Mastera2.001111113LSep 19 · 15:05O. Stehlik1.44991391A. Veliiev2.63111111113LSep 19 · 14:05O. Stehlik1.80811671O. Polak1.9111811113
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