TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Dominik Lengal vs Jakub Hitzger 3-0 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 2Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118117118––––
Jakub Hitzger
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingDominik Lengal above · Jakub Hitzger below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 56 set 3, 11-8
56 points played in total.
H2H Dominik Lengal 6–5 Jakub Hitzger Jakub Hitzger has won 5 of their 11 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Lengal beat Hitzger 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hitzger form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLengal 1.833 / Hitzger 1.833
TT Cup · #13233207
Lengal1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Hitzger1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLengal6wins
AwayHitzger4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLengal leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLengal100%6 of 6
AwayHitzger100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lengal6Hitzger4n = 10Lengal took 6 of 10
S2Lengal5Hitzger5n = 10split evenly
S3Lengal4Hitzger6n = 10Hitzger took 6 of 10
S4Lengal5Hitzger2n = 7Lengal took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricLengalHitzgerL − HBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.335.1+1.2per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLengalHitzgerBasisWin rate · lifetime181 / 293 vs 72 / 11261.8%64.3%181 / 293 vs 72 / 112Avg sets wonper match2.32.4per matchAvg pointsper match38.540.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
LengalLengal 1.83/Hitzger 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
3–0
Lengal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 2 · 12:05D. Lengal3911611113J. Hitzger29611571
LJun 3 · 17:50D. Lengal34891161J. Hitzger3911116113
LJun 3 · 16:05D. Lengal228860J. Hitzger331111113
WJun 1 · 12:05D. Lengal3911116113J. Hitzger31671171
LMar 27 · 14:10D. Lengal2611690J. Hitzger351311113
WMar 27 · 13:05D. Lengal3811115113J. Hitzger30551191
LMar 20 · 13:05D. Lengal4486111182J. Hitzger48111178113
WMar 13 · 22:35D. Lengal361114113J. Hitzger2241260
WMar 13 · 21:05D. Lengal3612112113J. Hitzger341081151
WJan 23 · 17:05D. Lengal491111115113J. Hitzger5099131182
D. Lengal10
WOct 2 · 12:05J. Hitzger1.80611571D. Lengal1.9111611113WOct 2 · 11:35M. Holub3.5065111192D. Lengal1.28111188113WOct 2 · 10:35D. Lengal2.001211113T. Bartik1.7310730LSep 2 · 13:39F. Karel1.6711116113D. Lengal2.10761171WSep 2 · 12:35D. Lengal1.5013811113J. Ruzicka2.501111471LSep 2 · 11:05F. Karel1.576111110113D. Lengal2.2511971232WSep 2 · 10:35T. Bartik1.809112111D. Lengal1.9111711133WAug 29 · 13:49M. Kucera2.311181121D. Lengal1.5513119113WAug 29 · 12:05D. Lengal1.331111113M. Mastera3.256950LAug 29 · 11:05D. Lengal1.7365111172M. Kucera2.00111177113
J. Hitzger10
LOct 2 · 12:05J. Hitzger1.80611571D. Lengal1.9111611113WOct 2 · 11:05J. Hitzger1.73111211113T. Bartik2.00614831WOct 2 · 10:05J. Hitzger1.401211113M. Holub2.7510650LSep 28 · 09:50J. Hitzger1.506119101M. Mastera2.5011411123LSep 28 · 08:05J. Hitzger1.577101191O. Polak2.2511127113WSep 28 · 07:05J. Hitzger1.7381111113M. Mastera2.00115891WSep 28 · 06:05J. Hitzger1.671111139113J. Ruzicka2.10134111152LSep 26 · 13:55J. Hitzger1.9111991192O. Stehlik1.80811115113LSep 26 · 12:05J. Hitzger1.73112971O. Stehlik2.0021111113WSep 26 · 11:05J. Hitzger1.801111113O. Polak1.919890
Upcoming Matches
D. Lengal
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J. Hitzger
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