TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Jakub Hitzger vs Oldrich Stehlik 2-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 26Finished
Jakub Hitzger
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
118911911115911
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingJakub Hitzger above · Oldrich Stehlik below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 95 set 5, 9-11
95 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Hitzger 12–9 Oldrich Stehlik Oldrich Stehlik has won 9 of their 21 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Stehlik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stehlik form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHitzger 1.91 / Stehlik 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Stehlik)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13200548
Hitzger1.91
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Stehlik1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 41 of 64
Up 2–0, closes it95% 19 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it83% 29 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHitzger6wins
AwayStehlik4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderHitzger leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHitzger62.5%5 of 8
AwayStehlikn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hitzger8Stehlik2n = 10Hitzger took 8 of 10
S2Hitzger3Stehlik7n = 10Stehlik took 7 of 10
S3Hitzger5Stehlik5n = 10split evenly
S4Hitzger5Stehlik4n = 9Hitzger took 5 of 9
S5Hitzger2Stehlik1n = 3Hitzger took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHitzgerStehlikH − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match39.037.5+1.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHitzgerStehlikBasisWin rate · lifetime68 / 104 vs 140 / 25865.4%54.3%68 / 104 vs 140 / 258Avg sets wonper match2.42.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.238.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StehlikHitzger 1.91/Stehlik 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Stehlik · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Stehlik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 26 · 12:05J. Hitzger29112971O. Stehlik3521111113
WJun 12 · 11:05J. Hitzger43111110113O. Stehlik37971291
WJun 1 · 13:10J. Hitzger3711411113O. Stehlik34711881
LJun 1 · 11:05J. Hitzger3911641172O. Stehlik49711119113
WMay 25 · 13:45J. Hitzger351113113O. Stehlik2681170
WMay 25 · 11:05J. Hitzger47611118113O. Stehlik4511681192
LApr 4 · 13:20J. Hitzger371081181O. Stehlik4012116113
WApr 4 · 11:05J. Hitzger4111811113O. Stehlik30211891
WMar 27 · 12:05J. Hitzger491161011113O. Stehlik3741112372
LMar 21 · 20:05J. Hitzger33118771O. Stehlik4291111113
J. Hitzger10
LSep 26 · 12:05J. Hitzger1.73112971O. Stehlik2.0021111113WSep 26 · 11:05J. Hitzger1.801111113O. Polak1.919890WSep 26 · 10:05J. Hitzger1.5311812113M. Holub2.387111071WJul 5 · 13:15J. Hitzger1.521111173J. Babinek2.3764150LJul 5 · 12:05J. Hitzger1.85811119102T. Bartik1.85116711123LJul 5 · 11:05J. Hitzger1.6211101161J. Muska2.1513126113WJul 5 · 10:05J. Hitzger1.4511131110143J. Babinek2.45815812122WJun 24 · 17:35J. Hitzger1.401111143T. Beran2.6075120WJun 24 · 16:05J. Hitzger1.44111111113T. Beran2.46139371WJun 24 · 15:05J. Hitzger1.4811911113M. Mastera2.36411761
O. Stehlik10
WSep 26 · 12:05J. Hitzger1.73112971O. Stehlik2.0021111113WSep 26 · 11:35M. Holub2.10115671O. Stehlik1.6761111113LSep 26 · 10:35O. Stehlik2.2011711712O. Polak1.61811911113WSep 20 · 13:05O. Stehlik1.671111113A. Veliiev2.103960LSep 20 · 12:05O. Stehlik1.918960O. Polak1.801111113LSep 20 · 11:05O. Stehlik2.0013112672A. Veliiev1.731161111113WSep 20 · 10:05O. Stehlik1.73111111113J. Ruzicka2.00513951WSep 19 · 17:15M. Mastera2.007770O. Stehlik1.731111113LSep 19 · 16:05O. Stehlik1.739850M. Mastera2.001111113LSep 19 · 15:05O. Stehlik1.44991391A. Veliiev2.63111111113
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