TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Ondrej Fejtek vs Vaclav Nohejl 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 3Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
6111181161012116
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:58 and never touched: 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeOndrej Fejtek to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingOndrej Fejtek above · Vaclav Nohejl below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 92 set 5, 11-6 · our read held Ondrej Fejtek at 57.7%
92 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Fejtek 1–0 Vaclav Nohejl Vaclav Nohejl has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:5857.7%Our read61.9%to break even at 1.615
short by 4.2pp61.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.615 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Fejtek
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Fejtek 1470 vs Nohejl 1463
Fejtek
Correct
both rated, 7 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fejtek 40% vs Nohejl 60%
Nohejl
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fejtek 60% vs Nohejl 40%
Fejtek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Fejtek -2 · Nohejl +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% · Slight lean (leans Fejtek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nohejl form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFejtek 1.615 / Nohejl 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Fejtek)-4.2pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13233653
Fejtek1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite43% won 6 of 14
Nohejl2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog55% won 24 of 44
Down 0–1, comes back29% 6 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back17% 2 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeFejtek1wins
AwayNohejl0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderFejtek leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricFejtekNohejlF − NBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match49.043.0+6.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFejtekNohejlBasisWin rate · lifetime41 / 75 vs 88 / 15554.7%56.8%41 / 75 vs 88 / 155Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
FejtekFejtek 1.61/Nohejl 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Fejtek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Fejtek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WOct 3 · 08:00O. Fejtek496111110113V. Nohejl4311861262
O. Fejtek10
WOct 3 · 08:59O. Fejtek1.801111113J. Steffan1.917760LOct 3 · 07:30J. Steffan1.73117118123O. Fejtek2.00611811102LOct 3 · 06:00O. Fejtek1.57114751J. Didi2.2571111113WOct 1 · 03:30V. Kosar1.7251191362O. Fejtek2.001191111113WOct 1 · 02:30J. Didi1.6744121172O. Fejtek2.101111108113LOct 1 · 01:00V. Kosar2.10111111113O. Fejtek1.67137861WSep 30 · 23:30O. Fejtek1.801120113A. Svoboda1.9161830WSep 30 · 22:00O. Fejtek1.50911118123R. Bartunek2.50118611102WSep 30 · 02:58O. Fejtek1.53914411113P. Picek2.38111211582WSep 30 · 02:00O. Fejtek1.6711147113R. Bartunek2.108121171
V. Nohejl10
WOct 3 · 07:00J. Didi1.73771151V. Nohejl2.0011116113WOct 3 · 06:28V. Nohejl1.8311811113J. Steffan1.83911271LSep 21 · 21:00V. Nohejl1.4051191182M. Stefek2.75114110113LSep 21 · 20:00V. Nohejl2.0012740R. Bartunek1.731411113WSep 21 · 19:30M. Stefek2.5010980V. Nohejl1.501211113LSep 21 · 18:00V. Nohejl1.44111211792J. Moravek2.63814811113LAug 22 · 21:05V. Nohejl1.619311101L. Krok2.2011116123LAug 22 · 20:30F. Briza1.67119139143V. Nohejl2.105111111122WAug 22 · 19:30V. Nohejl2.001111113L. Krok1.735760LAug 22 · 18:30T. Kolenic1.73111111133V. Nohejl2.001339111
Upcoming Matches
O. Fejtek
Nothing scheduled
V. Nohejl
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