TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Ondrej Fejtek vs Radek Bartunek 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 30Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
9111181168111210
Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:52 and never touched: 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeOndrej Fejtek to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingOndrej Fejtek above · Radek Bartunek below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 97 set 5, 12-10 · our read held Ondrej Fejtek at 62.5%
97 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Fejtek 1–0 Radek Bartunek Radek Bartunek has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:5262.5%Our read66.7%to break even at 1.50
short by 4.2pp66.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.50 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Fejtek
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Fejtek 1450 vs Bartunek 1388
Fejtek
Correct
both rated, 63 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fejtek 60% vs Bartunek 20%
Fejtek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fejtek 50% vs Bartunek 10%
Fejtek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Fejtek +2 · Bartunek -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% · Clear lean (leans Fejtek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bartunek form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFejtek 1.50 / Bartunek 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 38%
Edge (Fejtek)-4.2pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13216912
Fejtek1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite36% won 4 of 11
Bartunek2.50
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog33% won 40 of 121
Down 0–1, comes back18% 13 of 74
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 53
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeFejtek1wins
AwayBartunek0wins
Fejtek leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricFejtekBartunekF − BBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match43.038.0+5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFejtekBartunekBasisWin rate · lifetime36 / 67 vs 339 / 65853.7%51.5%36 / 67 vs 339 / 658Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
FejtekFejtek 1.50/Bartunek 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Fejtek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Fejtek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 30 · 02:00O. Fejtek4311147113R. Bartunek388121171
O. Fejtek10
WSep 30 · 02:58O. Fejtek1.53914411113P. Picek2.38111211582WSep 30 · 02:00O. Fejtek1.6711147113R. Bartunek2.108121171LSep 30 · 01:00O. Fejtek1.831011591J. Steffan1.8312911113LSep 30 · 00:00M. Placek2.00111112133O. Fejtek1.734914111WSep 29 · 22:30P. Picek1.831281141O. Fejtek1.8314117113LSep 25 · 17:00O. Fejtek2.20711841T. Kolenic1.6011711113WSep 25 · 16:00D. Horak1.61971231O. Fejtek2.20111110113LSep 25 · 15:00T. Kolenic1.6791111113O. Fejtek2.10117691LSep 25 · 14:30O. Fejtek1.83810111182F. Briza1.83111269113WSep 11 · 08:59A. Svoboda1.6171090O. Fejtek2.201112113
R. Bartunek10
LSep 30 · 23:00R. Bartunek1.40711100J. Didi2.751113123LSep 30 · 02:00O. Fejtek1.6711147113R. Bartunek2.108121171LSep 30 · 00:30R. Bartunek3.002790P. Picek1.361111113WSep 29 · 23:00R. Bartunek2.20111011123M. Placek1.616129101LSep 29 · 22:00J. Steffan1.831171111113R. Bartunek1.8391113352LSep 26 · 02:00P. Picek1.36111188113R. Bartunek3.0076111162LSep 26 · 00:30R. Bartunek2.633680T. Andrle1.441111113LSep 25 · 23:00R. Bartunek2.755540K. Darin1.401111113LSep 25 · 22:00O. Kucirek2.101511113R. Bartunek1.6713970LSep 23 · 21:30J. Steffan1.80111110113R. Bartunek1.90861261
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