TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Jan Steffan vs Radek Bartunek 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 29Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1197111113113115
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:56 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Steffan to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Steffan above · Radek Bartunek below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 11-3
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 92 set 5, 11-5 · our read held Jan Steffan at 54.0%
92 points played in total.
H2H Jan Steffan 33–32 Radek Bartunek Radek Bartunek has won 32 of their 65 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:56What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Bartunek
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
33-32 in 65
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Steffan 1461 vs Bartunek 1406
Steffan
Correct
both rated, 55 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Steffan 40% vs Bartunek 0%
Steffan
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Steffan 60% vs Bartunek 20%
Steffan
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Steffan -3 · Bartunek -7
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Steffan) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bartunek form (0%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSteffan 1.83 / Bartunek 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Steffan)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13210470
Steffan1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 27)
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Bartunek1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 4 days ago (Sep 26)
Lost last 7
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSteffan6wins
AwayBartunek4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSteffan leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSteffan83.3%5 of 6
AwayBartunek75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Steffan6Bartunek4n = 10Steffan took 6 of 10
S2Steffan7Bartunek3n = 10Steffan took 7 of 10
S3Steffan5Bartunek5n = 10split evenly
S4Steffan3Bartunek4n = 7Bartunek took 4 of 7
S5Steffan2Bartunek2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSteffanBartunekS − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.237.8+0.4per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSteffanBartunekBasisWin rate · lifetime463 / 969 vs 344 / 66347.8%51.9%463 / 969 vs 344 / 663Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SteffanSteffan 1.83/Bartunek 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Steffan · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Steffan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 23 · 21:30J. Steffan43111110113R. Bartunek32861261
WSep 23 · 20:00J. Steffan4112117113R. Bartunek371081181
LSep 17 · 02:30J. Steffan2959150R. Bartunek391111173
LSep 4 · 22:00J. Steffan3611115632R. Bartunek46491111113
LAug 28 · 22:00J. Steffan357101171R. Bartunek4211128113
WAug 6 · 23:00J. Steffan43311114143R. Bartunek49118711122
LAug 6 · 01:00J. Steffan4288111142R. Bartunek46111194113
WAug 4 · 17:00J. Steffan341211113R. Bartunek2710890
WAug 4 · 14:30J. Steffan45111184113R. Bartunek3959111132
WAug 4 · 11:30J. Steffan341112113R. Bartunek2191020
J. Steffan10
WSep 29 · 23:30J. Steffan1.91412124113P. Picek1.801110101192LSep 27 · 13:00J. Steffan1.5791111282L. Malek2.25115711113LSep 27 · 12:00M. Placek1.53115512113J. Steffan2.38711111022LSep 27 · 11:00L. Malek2.75117711113J. Steffan1.4091111562WSep 27 · 10:30J. Steffan1.67713711113J. Kucharcik2.10111111782WSep 25 · 13:30K. Darin1.6361211992J. Steffan2.151110511113WSep 25 · 12:30J. Steffan1.8011118133A. Svoboda1.916711111WSep 25 · 11:00J. Steffan1.4411118113L. Malek2.63571171LSep 25 · 10:00K. Darin1.531111123J. Steffan2.3886100WSep 23 · 21:30J. Steffan1.80111110113R. Bartunek1.90861261
R. Bartunek10
WSep 29 · 23:00R. Bartunek2.20111011123M. Placek1.616129101LSep 26 · 02:00P. Picek1.36111188113R. Bartunek3.0076111162LSep 26 · 00:30R. Bartunek2.633680T. Andrle1.441111113LSep 25 · 23:00R. Bartunek2.755540K. Darin1.401111113LSep 25 · 22:00O. Kucirek2.101511113R. Bartunek1.6713970LSep 23 · 21:30J. Steffan1.80111110113R. Bartunek1.90861261LSep 23 · 20:00R. Bartunek1.671081181J. Steffan2.1012117113LSep 23 · 19:30J. Moravek2.50119118123R. Bartunek1.50911711102WSep 23 · 18:00R. Bartunek1.61117115133V. Kosar2.20611911112WSep 23 · 03:30R. Bartunek1.681113113M. Stefek2.0581150
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