TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Jan Steffan vs Lukas Malek 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
911115117211811
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingJan Steffan above · Lukas Malek below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 2-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 86 set 5, 8-11
86 points played in total.
H2H Jan Steffan 38–22 Lukas Malek Lukas Malek has won 22 of their 60 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Malek beat Steffan 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Steffan)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSteffan 1.57 / Malek 2.25
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Steffan)+3.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13206482
Steffan1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 119 of 193
Up 2–0, closes it90% 62 of 69
Up 1–0, closes it80% 93 of 117
Malek2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog28% won 16 of 57
Down 0–1, comes back11% 4 of 35
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSteffan6wins
AwayMalek4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSteffan leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSteffan100%4 of 4
AwayMalek66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Steffan4Malek6n = 10Malek took 6 of 10
S2Steffan9Malek1n = 10Steffan took 9 of 10
S3Steffan7Malek3n = 10Steffan took 7 of 10
S4Steffan5Malek2n = 7Steffan took 5 of 7
S5Steffan0Malek3n = 3Malek took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSteffanMalekS − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.734.8+3.9per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSteffanMalekBasisWin rate · lifetime463 / 968 vs 187 / 38647.8%48.5%463 / 968 vs 187 / 386Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.236.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SteffanSteffan 1.57/Malek 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.1%
Steffan · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Malek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 27 · 11:00J. Steffan4291111562L. Malek47117711113
WSep 25 · 11:00J. Steffan4111118113L. Malek30571171
WSep 4 · 13:00J. Steffan4391112113L. Malek311181021
LSep 4 · 10:30J. Steffan367136101L. Malek45111111123
WAug 4 · 13:30J. Steffan341112113L. Malek2261060
WAug 4 · 10:00J. Steffan331111113L. Malek217950
WMay 15 · 10:30J. Steffan4041411113L. Malek331112731
LMay 13 · 06:30J. Steffan4231191182L. Malek50119118113
WMay 7 · 11:30J. Steffan331111113L. Malek173590
LMay 2 · 07:30J. Steffan4374121192L. Malek521111109113
J. Steffan10
LSep 27 · 12:00M. Placek1.53115512113J. Steffan2.38711111022LSep 27 · 11:00L. Malek2.75117711113J. Steffan1.4091111562WSep 27 · 10:30J. Steffan1.67713711113J. Kucharcik2.10111111782WSep 25 · 13:30K. Darin1.6361211992J. Steffan2.151110511113WSep 25 · 12:30J. Steffan1.8011118133A. Svoboda1.916711111WSep 25 · 11:00J. Steffan1.4411118113L. Malek2.63571171LSep 25 · 10:00K. Darin1.531111123J. Steffan2.3886100WSep 23 · 21:30J. Steffan1.80111110113R. Bartunek1.90861261WSep 23 · 20:00R. Bartunek1.671081181J. Steffan2.1012117113WSep 23 · 19:00V. Kosar1.919750J. Steffan1.801111113
L. Malek10
LSep 27 · 12:30L. Malek1.731178121J. Kucharcik2.0081111143WSep 27 · 11:00L. Malek2.75117711113J. Steffan1.4091111562LSep 27 · 10:00M. Placek1.831111113L. Malek1.831990WSep 25 · 13:00L. Malek1.671111113A. Svoboda2.109590LSep 25 · 12:00K. Darin1.4411117113L. Malek2.63581191LSep 25 · 11:00J. Steffan1.4411118113L. Malek2.63571171WSep 25 · 10:30L. Malek1.7311716113A. Svoboda2.004111451LSep 7 · 13:00V. Postelt1.20411811113L. Malek4.3311611852LSep 7 · 12:30L. Malek2.253650J. Plachy1.571111113LSep 7 · 11:00L. Malek2.6381171132J. Trefny1.44119119113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.