TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Radek Bartunek vs Petr Picek 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 30Finished
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
211711911––––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 00:23 and never touched: 72.3% is still 72.3%
Graded at full timePetr Picek to win
72.3%
72.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingRadek Bartunek above · Petr Picek below
Set 1 · 2-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 51 set 3, 9-11 · our read held Petr Picek at 72.3%
51 points played in total.
H2H Radek Bartunek 9–30 Petr Picek Radek Bartunek has won 9 of their 39 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 00:23What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Picek
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
9-30 in 39
Picek
Correct
gap of 21 in 39, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bartunek 1412 vs Picek 1425
Picek
Correct
both rated, 14 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bartunek 20% vs Picek 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bartunek 20% vs Picek 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Bartunek +1 · Picek -3
Picek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% · Strong (leans Picek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Picek form (20%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBartunek 3.00 / Picek 1.36
Signal prob.28% / 72%
Edge (Picek)+3.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13211072
Bartunek3.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog33% won 39 of 118
Down 0–1, comes back18% 13 of 72
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 51
Picek1.36
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 77 of 131
Up 2–0, closes it90% 36 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it80% 58 of 73
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBartunek0wins
AwayPicek10wins
2 of 10 to a deciderPicek leads 10–0, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBartunek0%0 of 3
AwayPicek100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bartunek3Picek7n = 10Picek took 7 of 10
S2Bartunek2Picek8n = 10Picek took 8 of 10
S3Bartunek1Picek9n = 10Picek took 9 of 10
S4Bartunek1Picek4n = 5Picek took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricBartunekPicekB − PBasisWins010−10in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match27.439.8−12.4per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBartunekPicekBasisWin rate · lifetime340 / 658 vs 273 / 54851.7%49.8%340 / 658 vs 273 / 548Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.036.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
PicekBartunek 3.00/Picek 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.3%
Picek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Picek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 26 · 02:00R. Bartunek4176111162P. Picek49111188113
LSep 17 · 01:00R. Bartunek371179101P. Picek4391111123
LAug 20 · 23:00R. Bartunek173860P. Picek331111113
LAug 12 · 22:30R. Bartunek291013331P. Picek45121111113
LAug 2 · 02:58R. Bartunek207490P. Picek331111113
LAug 1 · 23:00R. Bartunek44111171052P. Picek50881112113
LJul 27 · 23:30R. Bartunek1632110P. Picek351111133
LJul 24 · 23:30R. Bartunek1613120P. Picek361111143
LJul 19 · 01:00R. Bartunek205870P. Picek331111113
LJul 9 · 00:30R. Bartunek34117791P. Picek4181111113
R. Bartunek10
WSep 29 · 23:00R. Bartunek2.20111011123M. Placek1.616129101LSep 29 · 22:00J. Steffan1.831171111113R. Bartunek1.8391113352LSep 26 · 02:00P. Picek1.36111188113R. Bartunek3.0076111162LSep 26 · 00:30R. Bartunek2.633680T. Andrle1.441111113LSep 25 · 23:00R. Bartunek2.755540K. Darin1.401111113LSep 25 · 22:00O. Kucirek2.101511113R. Bartunek1.6713970LSep 23 · 21:30J. Steffan1.80111110113R. Bartunek1.90861261LSep 23 · 20:00R. Bartunek1.671081181J. Steffan2.1012117113LSep 23 · 19:30J. Moravek2.50119118123R. Bartunek1.50911711102WSep 23 · 18:00R. Bartunek1.61117115133V. Kosar2.20611911112
P. Picek10
LSep 29 · 23:30J. Steffan1.91412124113P. Picek1.801110101192LSep 29 · 22:30P. Picek1.831281141O. Fejtek1.8314117113LSep 26 · 03:00P. Picek1.771191081T. Andrle1.9381112113WSep 26 · 02:00P. Picek1.36111188113R. Bartunek3.0076111162LSep 26 · 01:00P. Picek3.40811100O. Kucirek1.301113123LSep 26 · 00:00K. Darin1.671111113P. Picek2.107650WSep 25 · 22:30T. Andrle1.809117101P. Picek1.9111811123LSep 24 · 02:58P. Picek1.734830T. Andrle2.001111113LSep 24 · 02:30J. Jnr1.571111113P. Picek2.253920WSep 24 · 01:00A. Svoboda2.639940P. Picek1.441111113
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