TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Radek Bartunek vs Julius Didi 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 30Finished
Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
71111131012––––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:58 and never touched: 65.1% is still 65.1%
Graded at full timeRadek Bartunek to win
65.1%
65.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRadek Bartunek above · Julius Didi below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 64 set 3, 10-12 · our read held Radek Bartunek at 65.1%
64 points played in total.
H2H Radek Bartunek 5–0 Julius Didi Julius Didi has won 0 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:5865.1%Our read71.4%to break even at 1.40
short by 6.3pp71.4% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.40 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Bartunek
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
5-0 in 5
Bartunek
Wrong
gap of 5 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bartunek 1379 vs Didi 1471
Didi
Correct
both rated, 92 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bartunek 20% vs Didi 80%
Didi
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bartunek 10% vs Didi 70%
Didi
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bartunek -3 · Didi +2
Bartunek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% · Clear lean (leans Bartunek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Didi form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBartunek 1.40 / Didi 2.75
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Bartunek)-6.3pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13217264
Bartunek1.40
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite70% won 111 of 158
Up 2–0, closes it95% 60 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it88% 84 of 95
Didi2.75
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 4 days ago (Sep 27)
Won last 2
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog44% won 89 of 203
Down 0–1, comes back19% 19 of 98
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 58
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeBartunek5wins
AwayDidi0wins
1 of 5 to a deciderBartunek leads 5–0, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBartunek100%3 of 3
AwayDidin = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bartunek3Didi2n = 5Bartunek took 3 of 5
S2Bartunek4Didi1n = 5Bartunek took 4 of 5
S3Bartunek4Didi1n = 5Bartunek took 4 of 5
S4Bartunek3Didi1n = 4Bartunek took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home360%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricBartunekDidiB − DBasisWins50+5in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match41.232.2+9.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBartunekDidiBasisWin rate · lifetime339 / 658 vs 402 / 77551.5%51.9%339 / 658 vs 402 / 775Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
BartunekBartunek 1.40/Didi 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.1%
Bartunek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Didi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 1 · 00:00R. Bartunek341211113J. Didi1610420
WAug 21 · 23:30R. Bartunek3961111113J. Didi25115361
WAug 17 · 22:00R. Bartunek4211119113J. Didi35891171
WAug 13 · 01:00R. Bartunek4111811113J. Didi31811391
WAug 10 · 19:30R. Bartunek501121214113J. Didi541110101672
R. Bartunek10
LSep 30 · 22:00O. Fejtek1.50911118123R. Bartunek2.50118611102LSep 30 · 02:00O. Fejtek1.6711147113R. Bartunek2.108121171LSep 30 · 00:30R. Bartunek3.002790P. Picek1.361111113WSep 29 · 23:00R. Bartunek2.20111011123M. Placek1.616129101LSep 29 · 22:00J. Steffan1.831171111113R. Bartunek1.8391113352LSep 26 · 02:00P. Picek1.36111188113R. Bartunek3.0076111162LSep 26 · 00:30R. Bartunek2.633680T. Andrle1.441111113LSep 25 · 23:00R. Bartunek2.755540K. Darin1.401111113LSep 25 · 22:00O. Kucirek2.101511113R. Bartunek1.6713970LSep 23 · 21:30J. Steffan1.80111110113R. Bartunek1.90861261
J. Didi10
LOct 1 · 00:00J. Didi1.673119101V. Kosar2.1011811123WSep 27 · 03:30D. Barton1.856670J. Didi1.851111113WSep 27 · 02:30J. Didi1.571411113R. Urban2.2512490LSep 27 · 01:30M. Stefek2.101612113J. Didi1.67141070WSep 27 · 00:00J. Didi1.50116514113D. Barton2.50711111252WSep 26 · 23:00V. Dolezal2.107370J. Didi1.671111113WSep 26 · 21:30M. Fisera1.678690J. Didi2.101111113WSep 26 · 20:00J. Didi1.731111119113M. Stefek2.0038131132LSep 26 · 19:30M. Fisera1.731051112113J. Didi2.00121191082WSep 26 · 18:00J. Didi2.0011611113V. Kosar1.73711881
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.