TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Ondrej Fejtek vs Jan Steffan 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 30Finished
Ondrej Fejtek
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1012119511911––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 00:59 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Steffan to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingOndrej Fejtek above · Jan Steffan below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 78 set 4, 9-11 · our read held Jan Steffan at 54.0%
78 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Fejtek 2–2 Jan Steffan Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 00:59What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Steffan
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fejtek 1440 vs Steffan 1480
Steffan
Correct
both rated, 40 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fejtek 40% vs Steffan 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fejtek 30% vs Steffan 60%
Steffan
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Fejtek -1 · Steffan +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Steffan) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Steffan form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFejtek 1.83 / Steffan 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Steffan)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13211076
Fejtek1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Steffan1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeFejtek2wins
AwaySteffan2wins
Level at 2–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFejtekn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwaySteffan66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fejtek1Steffan3n = 4Steffan took 3 of 4
S2Fejtek2Steffan2n = 4split evenly
S3Fejtek3Steffan1n = 4Fejtek took 3 of 4
S4Fejtek2Steffan2n = 4split evenly
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home250%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away250%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricFejtekSteffanF − SBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match39.036.2+2.8per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFejtekSteffanBasisWin rate · lifetime34 / 64 vs 462 / 96153.1%48.1%34 / 64 vs 462 / 961Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SteffanFejtek 1.83/Steffan 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Steffan · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Steffan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LSep 11 · 07:00O. Fejtek431191491J. Steffan47131112113
WAug 31 · 20:00O. Fejtek3961111113J. Steffan37118991
WOct 22 · 07:30O. Fejtek4211911113J. Steffan23811311
LOct 20 · 02:00O. Fejtek32811671J. Steffan3811511113
O. Fejtek10
WSep 30 · 02:00O. Fejtek1.6711147113R. Bartunek2.108121171LSep 30 · 00:00M. Placek2.00111112133O. Fejtek1.734914111WSep 29 · 22:30P. Picek1.831281141O. Fejtek1.8314117113LSep 25 · 17:00O. Fejtek2.20711841T. Kolenic1.6011711113WSep 25 · 16:00D. Horak1.61971231O. Fejtek2.20111110113LSep 25 · 15:00T. Kolenic1.6791111113O. Fejtek2.10117691LSep 25 · 14:30O. Fejtek1.83810111182F. Briza1.83111269113WSep 11 · 08:59A. Svoboda1.6171090O. Fejtek2.201112113LSep 11 · 08:00A. Svoboda1.831111113O. Fejtek1.834690LSep 11 · 07:00J. Steffan2.20131112113O. Fejtek1.611191491
J. Steffan10
WSep 29 · 23:30J. Steffan1.91412124113P. Picek1.801110101192WSep 29 · 22:00J. Steffan1.831171111113R. Bartunek1.8391113352LSep 27 · 13:00J. Steffan1.5791111282L. Malek2.25115711113LSep 27 · 12:00M. Placek1.53115512113J. Steffan2.38711111022LSep 27 · 11:00L. Malek2.75117711113J. Steffan1.4091111562WSep 27 · 10:30J. Steffan1.67713711113J. Kucharcik2.10111111782WSep 25 · 13:30K. Darin1.6361211992J. Steffan2.151110511113WSep 25 · 12:30J. Steffan1.8011118133A. Svoboda1.916711111WSep 25 · 11:00J. Steffan1.4411118113L. Malek2.63571171WSep 11 · 07:00J. Steffan2.20131112113O. Fejtek1.611191491
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