TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Filip Sikora vs Jan Skvrna 3-2 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 2Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1210511113711117
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:39 and never touched: 64.5% is still 64.5%
Graded at full timeFilip Sikora to win
64.5%
64.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingFilip Sikora above · Jan Skvrna below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 88 set 5, 11-7 · our read held Filip Sikora at 64.5%
88 points played in total.
H2H Filip Sikora 1–1 Jan Skvrna Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:3964.5%Our read69.3%to break even at 1.444
short by 4.8pp69.3% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.444 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Sikora
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Sikora 1735 vs Skvrna 1656
Sikora
Correct
both rated, 79 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sikora 40% vs Skvrna 80%
Skvrna
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sikora 40% vs Skvrna 60%
Skvrna
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sikora -2 · Skvrna -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% · Clear lean (leans Sikora) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skvrna form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSikora 1.444 / Skvrna 2.625
Signal prob.65% / 36%
Edge (Sikora)-4.8pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13232436
Sikora1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 77 of 123
Up 2–0, closes it91% 39 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it75% 54 of 72
Skvrna2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 13 of 30
Down 0–1, comes back25% 4 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSikora1wins
AwaySkvrna1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricSikoraSkvrnaSikora − SkvrnaBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match40.537.0+3.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSikoraSkvrnaBasisWin rate · lifetime178 / 319 vs 491 / 84855.8%57.9%178 / 319 vs 491 / 848Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.440.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SikoraSikora 1.44/Skvrna 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.5%
Sikora · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Sikora won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WApr 4 · 16:10F. Sikora361111143J. Skvrna2668120
LMar 6 · 19:15F. Sikora4591111682J. Skvrna48118711113
F. Sikora10
LOct 2 · 13:45F. Sikora1.5311101331J. Rak2.3891215113LSep 29 · 17:13F. Sikora1.83114771R. Kowal1.8351111113WSep 29 · 15:45F. Sikora1.8011411123R. Kowal1.918115101WSep 29 · 14:45F. Sikora1.7311511113D. Sarganek2.00411991LSep 29 · 13:45F. Sikora1.806660P. Vicherek1.911111113WSep 14 · 16:50M. Zaskodny2.2064111192F. Sikora1.61111177113WSep 14 · 15:40F. Sikora1.7381112113P. Vicherek2.001171051LSep 14 · 14:40F. Sikora1.731013981D. Sarganek2.00121111113LSep 14 · 13:40F. Sikora1.6111119932M. Zaskodny2.20161111113LSep 8 · 17:10R. Niezgoda2.291111113F. Sikora1.516890
J. Skvrna10
LOct 2 · 14:15A. Baros1.80711711113J. Skvrna1.9111611862WSep 30 · 13:13J. Skvrna1.8081111113T. Krenek1.91117951WSep 30 · 11:45L. Slavik1.914880J. Skvrna1.801111113WSep 30 · 11:15L. Kantor2.251011441J. Skvrna1.5712511113WSep 30 · 10:15J. Skvrna1.7311119113T. Krenek2.00541191LSep 27 · 16:40J. Skvrna1.5761190D. Velky Jr2.251113113LSep 27 · 15:40J. Skvrna1.6174110F. Chaloupka2.201111133WSep 27 · 14:40J. Skvrna1.579111011113D. Velky Jr2.2511112572LSep 27 · 13:40J. Skvrna1.675111151L. Slavik2.1011613113WSep 24 · 09:15I. Heuman1.73119781J. Skvrna2.0091111113
Upcoming Matches
F. Sikora
Nothing scheduled
J. Skvrna
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