TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Jan Skvrna vs Dalibor Velky Jr 0-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
6111113911––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingJan Skvrna above · Dalibor Velky Jr below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 61 set 3, 9-11
61 points played in total.
H2H Jan Skvrna 19–9 Dalibor Velky Jr Dalibor Velky Jr has won 9 of their 28 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Skvrna beat Jr 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Skvrna)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkvrna 1.57 / Jr 2.25
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Skvrna)+2.0pp
TT Cup · #13207388
Skvrna1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite59% won 229 of 390
Up 2–0, closes it95% 74 of 78
Up 1–0, closes it75% 159 of 213
Jr2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog49% won 113 of 229
Down 0–1, comes back27% 29 of 109
Down 0–2, comes back10% 5 of 52
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkvrna7wins
AwayJr3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSkvrna leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkvrna80%4 of 5
AwayJr40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skvrna5Jr5n = 10split evenly
S2Skvrna3Jr7n = 10Jr took 7 of 10
S3Skvrna7Jr3n = 10Skvrna took 7 of 10
S4Skvrna5Jr4n = 9Skvrna took 5 of 9
S5Skvrna3Jr0n = 3Skvrna took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkvrnaJrS − JBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match43.139.4+3.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkvrnaJrBasisWin rate · lifetime488 / 843 vs 284 / 57057.9%49.8%488 / 843 vs 284 / 570Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.039.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkvrnaSkvrna 1.57/Jr 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.9%
Skvrna · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Jr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 27 · 14:40J. Skvrna529111011113D. Jr3611112572
LSep 22 · 09:45J. Skvrna381191171D. Jr4113116113
WSep 8 · 10:40J. Skvrna481141111113D. Jr4561191362
LSep 4 · 08:40J. Skvrna2376100D. Jr341111123
WSep 4 · 05:40J. Skvrna4171211113D. Jr321110741
WAug 11 · 09:10J. Skvrna4111811113D. Jr33711691
LAug 11 · 06:40J. Skvrna361168111D. Jr4161111133
WAug 7 · 10:40J. Skvrna5020811113D. Jr401811651
WAug 6 · 09:40J. Skvrna54711169113D. Jr52119141172
WAug 3 · 13:10J. Skvrna48111113133D. Jr4051311111
J. Skvrna10
LSep 27 · 15:40J. Skvrna1.6174110F. Chaloupka2.201111133WSep 27 · 14:40J. Skvrna1.579111011113D. Jr2.2511112572LSep 27 · 13:40J. Skvrna1.675111151L. Slavik2.1011613113WSep 24 · 09:15I. Heuman1.73119781J. Skvrna2.0091111113WSep 24 · 07:45J. Skvrna1.676111211113J. Krupnik2.1011914142WSep 24 · 06:45J. Skvrna1.531113410113D. Pawlik2.38211111262LSep 24 · 05:45J. Skvrna1.73119441I. Heuman2.0061111113WSep 23 · 16:48M. Zaskodny2.7591112121J. Skvrna1.4011714143LSep 23 · 16:10J. Skvrna1.306111191M. Zaskodny3.4011813113LSep 23 · 14:40D. Sarganek1.831112113J. Skvrna1.8331080
D. Jr10
LSep 27 · 16:10D. Jr2.201111061L. Slavik1.6111712113LSep 27 · 14:40J. Skvrna1.579111011113D. Jr2.2511112572WSep 27 · 14:10F. Chaloupka1.57871161D. Jr2.2511117113LSep 27 · 13:17D. Jr1.73117991L. Dzida2.0091111113WSep 27 · 11:45D. Jr1.83141189113L. Dzida1.83126111182LSep 27 · 10:45D. Jr1.67111111852E. Precek2.10138511113WSep 27 · 09:45D. Jr1.571113910113D. Pawlik2.25711111282LSep 26 · 09:14J. Travnicek1.8011119113D. Jr1.91941191LSep 26 · 08:15D. Jr1.915760J. Travnicek1.801111113WSep 26 · 06:45J. Skalicky1.738760D. Jr2.001111113
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