TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Jan Skvrna vs Frantisek Chaloupka 0-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
7114111113––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:44 and never touched — 61.5% is still 61.5%
Graded at full timeJan Skvrna to win
61.5%
61.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJan Skvrna above · Frantisek Chaloupka below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Point 57 set 3, 11-13 — our read held Jan Skvrna at 61.5%
57 points played in total.
H2H Jan Skvrna 26–12 Frantisek Chaloupka Frantisek Chaloupka has won 12 of their 38 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:44What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Skvrna
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
26-12 in 38
Skvrna
Wrong
gap of 14 in 38, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skvrna 1636 vs Chaloupka 1671
Chaloupka
Correct
both rated, 35 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skvrna 80% vs Chaloupka 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skvrna 50% vs Chaloupka 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Skvrna +1 · Chaloupka +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Skvrna) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chaloupka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkvrna 1.61 / Chaloupka 2.20
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Skvrna)-1.0pp
TT Cup · #13205705
Skvrna1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 229 of 390
Up 2–0, closes it95% 74 of 78
Up 1–0, closes it75% 159 of 213
Chaloupka2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 43 of 98
Down 0–1, comes back27% 15 of 55
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkvrna9wins
AwayChaloupka1wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSkvrna leads 9–1, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkvrna87.5%7 of 8
AwayChaloupkan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skvrna8Chaloupka2n = 10Skvrna took 8 of 10
S2Skvrna4Chaloupka6n = 10Chaloupka took 6 of 10
S3Skvrna4Chaloupka6n = 10Chaloupka took 6 of 10
S4Skvrna7Chaloupka3n = 10Skvrna took 7 of 10
S5Skvrna5Chaloupka0n = 5Skvrna took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkvrnaChaloupkaS − CBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match46.941.5+5.4per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkvrnaChaloupkaBasisWin rate · lifetime488 / 842 vs 286 / 54658%52.4%488 / 842 vs 286 / 546Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.039.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkvrnaSkvrna 1.61/Chaloupka 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.7%
Skvrna · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Chaloupka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 10 · 15:15J. Skvrna4211911113F. Chaloupka27611371
WSep 4 · 15:45J. Skvrna4413911113F. Chaloupka351111581
WAug 30 · 06:10J. Skvrna581112816113F. Chaloupka52710111862
WAug 15 · 09:40J. Skvrna521110811123F. Chaloupka46912114102
WAug 15 · 09:40J. Skvrna521110811123F. Chaloupka46912114102
WAug 13 · 15:10J. Skvrna4611914123F. Chaloupka4181112101
WAug 9 · 14:10J. Skvrna51811911123F. Chaloupka47118117102
LAug 9 · 13:13J. Skvrna29117921F. Chaloupka3961111113
WAug 9 · 10:40J. Skvrna4381111133F. Chaloupka391189111
WAug 5 · 16:43J. Skvrna521111811113F. Chaloupka4399111312
J. Skvrna10
LSep 27 · 16:40J. Skvrna1.5761190D. Jr2.251113113WSep 27 · 14:40J. Skvrna1.579111011113D. Jr2.2511112572LSep 27 · 13:40J. Skvrna1.675111151L. Slavik2.1011613113WSep 24 · 09:15I. Heuman1.73119781J. Skvrna2.0091111113WSep 24 · 07:45J. Skvrna1.676111211113J. Krupnik2.1011914142WSep 24 · 06:45J. Skvrna1.531113410113D. Pawlik2.38211111262LSep 24 · 05:45J. Skvrna1.73119441I. Heuman2.0061111113WSep 23 · 16:48M. Zaskodny2.7591112121J. Skvrna1.4011714143LSep 23 · 16:10J. Skvrna1.306111191M. Zaskodny3.4011813113LSep 23 · 14:40D. Sarganek1.831112113J. Skvrna1.8331080
F. Chaloupka10
WSep 27 · 15:10L. Slavik2.251181111102F. Chaloupka1.57131197123LSep 27 · 14:10F. Chaloupka1.57871161D. Jr2.2511117113WSep 27 · 13:09J. Travnicek2.001165121F. Chaloupka1.7371111143WSep 27 · 11:40F. Chaloupka1.7311117113J. Krupnik2.00891171WSep 27 · 10:40F. Chaloupka1.7311127133A. Veliiev2.0041011111LSep 27 · 09:40F. Chaloupka1.577101171J. Travnicek2.2511129113LSep 22 · 16:55F. Chaloupka2.20118491B. Moravec1.6191111113LSep 22 · 16:15J. Pribyl1.61111176113F. Chaloupka2.2068111192LSep 22 · 15:15F. Chaloupka1.7396111262D. Skulina2.001111810113WSep 22 · 13:45B. Moravec1.537780F. Chaloupka2.381111113
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